Early positioning for Mexico's 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial election centers on Morena's internal nomination contest, where polls show Senator Eugenio Segura Vázquez and Estefanía Mercado Asencio as frontrunners amid a crowded field of announced aspirants including Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña and Rafael Marín Mollinedo. Trader odds remain dispersed because the race is more than a year from the June ballot, with party alliances, gender parity rules, and primary dynamics still fluid across Morena-PVEM-PT and opposition groups. Recent candidate announcements and localized surveys have not produced a decisive frontrunner, keeping implied probabilities for individual names compressed while uncertainty persists over final nominees and general-election matchups. Upcoming party conventions and further polling could shift consensus as contenders consolidate support.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMarybel Villegas Canché 26%
Roberto Palazuelos Badeaux 19%
Pedro José Flota Alcocer 18%
Estefanía Mercado Asencio 15%

Marybel Villegas Canché
26%

Roberto Palazuelos Badeaux
19%

Pedro José Flota Alcocer
18%

Estefanía Mercado Asencio
15%

Reyna Tamayo Carballo
12%

Filiberto Martínez Méndez
12%

Alexa Murguía Trujillo
11%

Leslie Hendricks Rubio
9%

José Luis Pech Várguez
9%

Mayuli Martínez Simón
8%

Eugenio Segura Vázquez
7%

Rafael Marín Mollinedo
7%

Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña
16%

Lidia Rojas Fabro
20%

Amalia Castilla Madrid
14%

David Ortiz Mena
1%
Marybel Villegas Canché 26%
Roberto Palazuelos Badeaux 19%
Pedro José Flota Alcocer 18%
Estefanía Mercado Asencio 15%

Marybel Villegas Canché
26%

Roberto Palazuelos Badeaux
19%

Pedro José Flota Alcocer
18%

Estefanía Mercado Asencio
15%

Reyna Tamayo Carballo
12%

Filiberto Martínez Méndez
12%

Alexa Murguía Trujillo
11%

Leslie Hendricks Rubio
9%

José Luis Pech Várguez
9%

Mayuli Martínez Simón
8%

Eugenio Segura Vázquez
7%

Rafael Marín Mollinedo
7%

Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña
16%

Lidia Rojas Fabro
20%

Amalia Castilla Madrid
14%

David Ortiz Mena
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Early positioning for Mexico's 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial election centers on Morena's internal nomination contest, where polls show Senator Eugenio Segura Vázquez and Estefanía Mercado Asencio as frontrunners amid a crowded field of announced aspirants including Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña and Rafael Marín Mollinedo. Trader odds remain dispersed because the race is more than a year from the June ballot, with party alliances, gender parity rules, and primary dynamics still fluid across Morena-PVEM-PT and opposition groups. Recent candidate announcements and localized surveys have not produced a decisive frontrunner, keeping implied probabilities for individual names compressed while uncertainty persists over final nominees and general-election matchups. Upcoming party conventions and further polling could shift consensus as contenders consolidate support.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions