Netflix shares have traded under pressure following the July 16 release of second-quarter 2026 results, which showed revenue of $12.56 billion—slightly below consensus—and tempered third-quarter guidance amid moderating membership growth and ad-tier momentum. The stock fell more than 7% in after-hours trading, extending a year-to-date decline exceeding 20% and pushing prices near multi-month lows around $70. Traders are monitoring broader equity-market risk sentiment, Treasury yields, and streaming-sector competition as key variables ahead of the August 7 weekly close. No major company-specific catalysts are scheduled until the October earnings window, leaving price action sensitive to macroeconomic data releases and sector rotation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$10
-
$20
99%
$30
99%
$40
51%
$50
51%
$60
51%
$70
78%
$80
50%
$90
50%
$100
50%
$110
50%
$120
1%
$130
99%
$194 Vol.
$10
-
$20
99%
$30
99%
$40
51%
$50
51%
$60
51%
$70
78%
$80
50%
$90
50%
$100
50%
$110
50%
$120
1%
$130
99%
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Netflix shares have traded under pressure following the July 16 release of second-quarter 2026 results, which showed revenue of $12.56 billion—slightly below consensus—and tempered third-quarter guidance amid moderating membership growth and ad-tier momentum. The stock fell more than 7% in after-hours trading, extending a year-to-date decline exceeding 20% and pushing prices near multi-month lows around $70. Traders are monitoring broader equity-market risk sentiment, Treasury yields, and streaming-sector competition as key variables ahead of the August 7 weekly close. No major company-specific catalysts are scheduled until the October earnings window, leaving price action sensitive to macroeconomic data releases and sector rotation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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