August 19 33%
No release by August 31 31%
August 20 31%
August 23 31%
On or prior to August 1
8%
August 2
1%
August 3
1%
August 4
2%
August 5
30%
August 6
6%
August 7
26%
August 8
23%
August 9
22%
August 10
30%
August 11
-
August 12
-
August 13
-
August 14
22%
August 15
-
August 16
31%
August 17
30%
August 18
-
August 19
33%
August 20
31%
August 21
-
August 22
-
August 23
31%
August 24
-
August 25
-
August 26
-
August 27
32%
August 28
31%
August 29
14%
August 30
22%
August 31
1%
No release by August 31
31%
August 19 33%
No release by August 31 31%
August 20 31%
August 23 31%
On or prior to August 1
8%
August 2
1%
August 3
1%
August 4
2%
August 5
30%
August 6
6%
August 7
26%
August 8
23%
August 9
22%
August 10
30%
August 11
-
August 12
-
August 13
-
August 14
22%
August 15
-
August 16
31%
August 17
30%
August 18
-
August 19
33%
August 20
31%
August 21
-
August 22
-
August 23
31%
August 24
-
August 25
-
August 26
-
August 27
32%
August 28
31%
August 29
14%
August 30
22%
August 31
1%
No release by August 31
31%
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...
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Frequently Asked Questions