Recent supply expansions and the ramp of Blackwell GPUs have created uncertainty around H200 rental rates by late August, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered across $4–$6 per hour bands. Cloud providers including RunPod and Vast.ai report spot prices fluctuating between roughly $3.50 and $4.40, reflecting increased availability of Hopper-based instances alongside premium memory-bound workloads that still command higher rates. Competitive pressure from lower-cost H100s and newer B200 tiers, plus broader data-center capacity additions, offsets persistent AI training demand and limits sharp rebounds. Traders are watching near-term utilization reports and any further AWS-style price cuts for signals that could resolve the balanced outlook before month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$4.50-$5.00 49%
$5.00-$5.50 44%
$4.00-$4.50 44%
$6.00+ 41%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
<$4.00
41%
$4.00-$4.50
44%
$4.50-$5.00
49%
$5.00-$5.50
44%
$5.50-$6.00
41%
$6.00+
41%
$4.50-$5.00 49%
$5.00-$5.50 44%
$4.00-$4.50 44%
$6.00+ 41%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
<$4.00
$0 Vol.
41%
$4.00-$4.50
$0 Vol.
44%
$4.50-$5.00
$0 Vol.
49%
$5.00-$5.50
$0 Vol.
44%
$5.50-$6.00
$0 Vol.
41%
$6.00+
$0 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Recent supply expansions and the ramp of Blackwell GPUs have created uncertainty around H200 rental rates by late August, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered across $4–$6 per hour bands. Cloud providers including RunPod and Vast.ai report spot prices fluctuating between roughly $3.50 and $4.40, reflecting increased availability of Hopper-based instances alongside premium memory-bound workloads that still command higher rates. Competitive pressure from lower-cost H100s and newer B200 tiers, plus broader data-center capacity additions, offsets persistent AI training demand and limits sharp rebounds. Traders are watching near-term utilization reports and any further AWS-style price cuts for signals that could resolve the balanced outlook before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Recent supply expansions and the ramp of Blackwell GPUs have created uncertainty around H200 rental rates by late August, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered across $4–$6 per hour bands. Cloud providers including RunPod and Vast.ai report spot prices fluctuating between roughly $3.50 and $4.40, reflecting increased availability of Hopper-based instances alongside premium memory-bound workloads that still command higher rates. Competitive pressure from lower-cost H100s and newer B200 tiers, plus broader data-center capacity additions, offsets persistent AI training demand and limits sharp rebounds. Traders are watching near-term utilization reports and any further AWS-style price cuts for signals that could resolve the balanced outlook before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent supply expansions and the ramp of Blackwell GPUs have created uncertainty around H200 rental rates by late August, keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered across $4–$6 per hour bands. Cloud providers including RunPod and Vast.ai report spot prices fluctuating between roughly $3.50 and $4.40, reflecting increased availability of Hopper-based instances alongside premium memory-bound workloads that still command higher rates. Competitive pressure from lower-cost H100s and newer B200 tiers, plus broader data-center capacity additions, offsets persistent AI training demand and limits sharp rebounds. Traders are watching near-term utilization reports and any further AWS-style price cuts for signals that could resolve the balanced outlook before month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions