Republicans in the South Carolina legislature advanced mid-cycle congressional redistricting efforts in May 2026 aimed at the state's sole Democratic-held district, the 6th, represented by incumbent Jim Clyburn. Proposed maps seek an all-Republican delegation of seven, building on the existing 6-1 balance after prior maps survived legal challenges. Democrats contend aggressive changes risk spreading their voters in ways that could produce two or three seats under favorable national conditions or successful court review. Open seats from Republican retirements and early candidate filings have not altered baseline assessments, leaving trader consensus tight between zero and multiple Democratic wins pending final map approval, implementation timelines, and any subsequent litigation before the November election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?
How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?
1 40%
0 38%
3+ 38%
2 37%
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Nov 3, 2026
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38%
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40%
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37%
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38%
1 40%
0 38%
3+ 38%
2 37%
NEW
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Nov 3, 2026
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38%
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This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in South Carolina in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All South Carolina US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans in the South Carolina legislature advanced mid-cycle congressional redistricting efforts in May 2026 aimed at the state's sole Democratic-held district, the 6th, represented by incumbent Jim Clyburn. Proposed maps seek an all-Republican delegation of seven, building on the existing 6-1 balance after prior maps survived legal challenges. Democrats contend aggressive changes risk spreading their voters in ways that could produce two or three seats under favorable national conditions or successful court review. Open seats from Republican retirements and early candidate filings have not altered baseline assessments, leaving trader consensus tight between zero and multiple Democratic wins pending final map approval, implementation timelines, and any subsequent litigation before the November election.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in South Carolina in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All South Carolina US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All South Carolina US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 10:01 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 10:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in South Carolina in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All South Carolina US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans in the South Carolina legislature advanced mid-cycle congressional redistricting efforts in May 2026 aimed at the state's sole Democratic-held district, the 6th, represented by incumbent Jim Clyburn. Proposed maps seek an all-Republican delegation of seven, building on the existing 6-1 balance after prior maps survived legal challenges. Democrats contend aggressive changes risk spreading their voters in ways that could produce two or three seats under favorable national conditions or successful court review. Open seats from Republican retirements and early candidate filings have not altered baseline assessments, leaving trader consensus tight between zero and multiple Democratic wins pending final map approval, implementation timelines, and any subsequent litigation before the November election.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in South Carolina in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All South Carolina US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All South Carolina US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 10:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Republicans in the South Carolina legislature advanced mid-cycle congressional redistricting efforts in May 2026 aimed at the state's sole Democratic-held district, the 6th, represented by incumbent Jim Clyburn. Proposed maps seek an all-Republican delegation of seven, building on the existing 6-1 balance after prior maps survived legal challenges. Democrats contend aggressive changes risk spreading their voters in ways that could produce two or three seats under favorable national conditions or successful court review. Open seats from Republican retirements and early candidate filings have not altered baseline assessments, leaving trader consensus tight between zero and multiple Democratic wins pending final map approval, implementation timelines, and any subsequent litigation before the November election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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