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Politics·Election

New Hampshire Senate and Governor Combo

icon for New Hampshire Senate and Governor Combo
Politics·Election

New Hampshire Senate and Governor Combo

Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 41%

Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 38%

Dems sweep 38%

Reps sweep 37%

Polymarket
NEW

Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 41%

Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 38%

Dems sweep 38%

Reps sweep 37%

Polymarket
NEW

Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate

$0 Vol.

41%

Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate

$0 Vol.

38%

Dems sweep

$0 Vol.

38%

Reps sweep

$0 Vol.

37%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. New Hampshire’s open U.S. Senate seat, created by Jeanne Shaheen’s retirement, and the Republican-held governorship under incumbent Kelly Ayotte anchor trader focus for the 2026 combo market. Primaries on September 8 will narrow fields featuring Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas and Republican John E. Sununu or similar contenders in the Senate race, rated Lean Democratic by forecasters, while Ayotte enters the general election with strong positioning in a Likely Republican contest. New Hampshire’s history of ticket-splitting elevates the odds of divided outcomes over unified party control, consistent with elevated pricing on mixed results and the substantial share assigned to “Other.” Upcoming primary results and any late shifts in candidate recruitment remain the nearest catalysts that could adjust implied probabilities ahead of the November 3 general election.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$0
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. New Hampshire’s open U.S. Senate seat, created by Jeanne Shaheen’s retirement, and the Republican-held governorship under incumbent Kelly Ayotte anchor trader focus for the 2026 combo market. Primaries on September 8 will narrow fields featuring Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas and Republican John E. Sununu or similar contenders in the Senate race, rated Lean Democratic by forecasters, while Ayotte enters the general election with strong positioning in a Likely Republican contest. New Hampshire’s history of ticket-splitting elevates the odds of divided outcomes over unified party control, consistent with elevated pricing on mixed results and the substantial share assigned to “Other.” Upcoming primary results and any late shifts in candidate recruitment remain the nearest catalysts that could adjust implied probabilities ahead of the November 3 general election.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$0
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"New Hampshire Senate and Governor Combo" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate" at 41%, followed by "Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"New Hampshire Senate and Governor Combo" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 11, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "New Hampshire Senate and Governor Combo," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "New Hampshire Senate and Governor Combo" is "Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "New Hampshire Senate and Governor Combo" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.