Skip to main content

Breaking World News & Predictions

Jul 29, 2026

Breaking News

See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?

Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?

86%
80%
2
icon for U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?

36%
29%
3
icon for Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?

Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?

2%
24%
4
icon for US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?

9%
21%
5
icon for US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?

US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?

21%
19%
6
icon for US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?

34%
17%
7
icon for Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

19%
16%
8
icon for Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?

28%
14%
9
icon for No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?

No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?

94%
13%
10
icon for Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

28%
9%
11
icon for US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

51%
9%
12
icon for US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?

US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?

37%
9%
13
icon for Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?

66%
9%
14
icon for IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?

14%
8%
15
icon for Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?

Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?

36%
8%
16
icon for 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?

4%
7%
17
icon for Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

30%
6%
18
icon for US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

84%
6%
19
icon for Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

83%
6%
20
icon for Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

40%
6%
21
icon for Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

21%
5%