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Breaking Tech News & Predictions

Jul 29, 2026

Breaking News

See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?

Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?

55%
44%
2
icon for Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?

Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?

92%
29%
3
icon for Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?

Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?

64%
22%
4
icon for Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?

Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?

87%
20%
5
icon for Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?

Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?

27%
19%
6
icon for Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?

Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?

26%
18%
7
icon for Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?

83%
16%
8
icon for US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

19%
12%
9
icon for Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?

Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?

63%
11%
10
icon for Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

66%
10%
11
icon for Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?

Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?

99%
8%
12
icon for Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

13%
8%
13
icon for Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?

3%
8%
14
icon for Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

65%
7%
15
icon for Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

42%
6%
16
icon for Will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?

Will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?

100%
5%