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Politics·Primaries

Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican Primary Winner

icon for Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican Primary Winner

Nate Pollnow 85%

Jay Schroeder 17%

Brayden Myer <1%

Cindy Werner <1%

Polymarket

$10,831 Vol.

Nate Pollnow 85%

Jay Schroeder 17%

Brayden Myer <1%

Cindy Werner <1%

Polymarket

$10,831 Vol.

Nate Pollnow

$5,470 Vol.

85%

Jay Schroeder

$2,182 Vol.

20%

Brayden Myer

$2,423 Vol.

1%

Cindy Werner

$757 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Secretary of State Election. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The August 11 Wisconsin Republican primary for secretary of state remains tightly contested among Nate Pollnow, Jay Schroeder, Brayden Myer, and Cindy Werner, with no candidate establishing a decisive lead in the final weeks. Pollnow secured the state party endorsement at the May convention, while Schroeder has emphasized debate challenges and MAGA-aligned messaging. Werner faced June scrutiny over nomination signature collection but advanced to the ballot. Myer positions himself as a small-business conservative. With the vote three weeks away and limited polling available, traders see comparable paths for the top contenders, and any late endorsement, turnout effort, or unresolved eligibility issue could shift support ahead of the August ballot.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Secretary of State Election. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$10,831
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Secretary of State Election. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Secretary of State Election. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The August 11 Wisconsin Republican primary for secretary of state remains tightly contested among Nate Pollnow, Jay Schroeder, Brayden Myer, and Cindy Werner, with no candidate establishing a decisive lead in the final weeks. Pollnow secured the state party endorsement at the May convention, while Schroeder has emphasized debate challenges and MAGA-aligned messaging. Werner faced June scrutiny over nomination signature collection but advanced to the ballot. Myer positions himself as a small-business conservative. With the vote three weeks away and limited polling available, traders see comparable paths for the top contenders, and any late endorsement, turnout effort, or unresolved eligibility issue could shift support ahead of the August ballot.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Secretary of State Election. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$10,831
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Secretary of State Election. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nate Pollnow" at 85%, followed by "Jay Schroeder" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican Primary Winner" has generated $10.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican Primary Winner" is "Nate Pollnow" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jay Schroeder" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.