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Tech·Big Tech

What will Microsoft say during their next earnings call?

icon for What will Microsoft say during their next earnings call?
Tech·Big Tech

What will Microsoft say during their next earnings call?

Jul 29

Jul 29

Jul 29

Jul 30

Jul 29

Jul 29

Jul 29

Jul 30

NEW
Jul 29, 2026
Polymarket

$8,820 Vol.

Polymarket

AI / Artificial Intelligence 30+ times

$1 Vol.

94%

Copilot 20+ times

$460 Vol.

94%

GitHub 10+ times

$249 Vol.

56%

Security 5+ times

$267 Vol.

93%

Latency

$83 Vol.

41%

Gaming

$1,590 Vol.

57%

Excel

$131 Vol.

69%

Game Pass

$287 Vol.

44%

Call of Duty

$70 Vol.

24%

Sentinel

$102 Vol.

32%

Fabric

$1,635 Vol.

94%

Database

$371 Vol.

77%

Foundry

$727 Vol.

54%

Memory

$153 Vol.

67%

Anthropic

$271 Vol.

64%

AMD / Advanced Micro Devices

$606 Vol.

63%

Helios

$253 Vol.

41%

Windows 11

$143 Vol.

47%

Activision / Blizzard

$68 Vol.

25%

Frontier

$237 Vol.

54%

Cybersecurity

$97 Vol.

38%

Layoff / Job Cut

$986 Vol.

12%

-No Qualifying Event-

$33 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Microsoft currently scheduled to take place on July 29, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfMicrosoft's next earnings call, expected imminently for fiscal Q4 2026, will likely center on accelerating AI momentum amid persistent supply constraints. Recent Q3 results showed the company's AI business reaching a $37 billion annualized run rate, up 123% year-over-year, with Azure and other cloud services growing 39-40% driven by demand for large language model infrastructure and Microsoft 365 Copilot. Traders are watching for updates on capital expenditures exceeding $40 billion in the quarter, paid Copilot seat growth beyond 20 million, and whether capacity limitations or efficiency gains will shape 2027 guidance. Competitive pressure from other AI labs and enterprise adoption trends remain key swing factors in market-implied odds.

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Microsoft currently scheduled to take place on July 29, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$8,820
End Date
Jul 29, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Microsoft currently scheduled to take place on July 29, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Microsoft currently scheduled to take place on July 29, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfMicrosoft's next earnings call, expected imminently for fiscal Q4 2026, will likely center on accelerating AI momentum amid persistent supply constraints. Recent Q3 results showed the company's AI business reaching a $37 billion annualized run rate, up 123% year-over-year, with Azure and other cloud services growing 39-40% driven by demand for large language model infrastructure and Microsoft 365 Copilot. Traders are watching for updates on capital expenditures exceeding $40 billion in the quarter, paid Copilot seat growth beyond 20 million, and whether capacity limitations or efficiency gains will shape 2027 guidance. Competitive pressure from other AI labs and enterprise adoption trends remain key swing factors in market-implied odds.

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Microsoft currently scheduled to take place on July 29, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$8,820
End Date
Jul 29, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Microsoft currently scheduled to take place on July 29, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Microsoft say during their next earnings call?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "AI / Artificial Intelligence 30+ times" at 94%, followed by "Copilot 20+ times" at 94%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will Microsoft say during their next earnings call?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will Microsoft say during their next earnings call?," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Microsoft say during their next earnings call?" is "AI / Artificial Intelligence 30+ times" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Copilot 20+ times" at 94%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Microsoft say during their next earnings call?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.