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Tech·App

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?

icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?
Tech·App

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?

Jul 31

Jul 31

ChatGPT 35%

TikTok Pro - Events 16%

Netflix Game Controller 5%

Threads 3.6%

Polymarket
NEW

ChatGPT 35%

TikTok Pro - Events 16%

Netflix Game Controller 5%

Threads 3.6%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$2,667 Vol.

35%

icon for TikTok Pro - Events

TikTok Pro - Events

$3,189 Vol.

16%

icon for Netflix Game Controller

Netflix Game Controller

$2,558 Vol.

5%

icon for Threads

Threads

$485 Vol.

4%

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$409 Vol.

3%

icon for Depop - Buy & Sell Clothes

Depop - Buy & Sell Clothes

$32 Vol.

3%

icon for Claude by Anthropic

Claude by Anthropic

$82 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace

Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace

$58 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT leads with 66.5% implied probability due to its consistent top-two positioning in recent US App Store charts, fueled by OpenAI's July 14 update enhancing search across chats and projects alongside sustained demand for large language model features. Shopping apps like Vinted and Depop hover near 50% on potential seasonal traffic spikes, while TikTok Pro - Events and Threads reflect platform-driven engagement cycles. Google Gemini and Claude trail at lower odds amid slower mobile adoption relative to ChatGPT's established user base. With July 31 just days away, traders are weighing last-minute ranking volatility from any final-week promotions or viral AI capability demos against historical patterns where OpenAI's app maintains strong free-download momentum.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$9,481
End Date
Jul 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 8:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT leads with 66.5% implied probability due to its consistent top-two positioning in recent US App Store charts, fueled by OpenAI's July 14 update enhancing search across chats and projects alongside sustained demand for large language model features. Shopping apps like Vinted and Depop hover near 50% on potential seasonal traffic spikes, while TikTok Pro - Events and Threads reflect platform-driven engagement cycles. Google Gemini and Claude trail at lower odds amid slower mobile adoption relative to ChatGPT's established user base. With July 31 just days away, traders are weighing last-minute ranking volatility from any final-week promotions or viral AI capability demos against historical patterns where OpenAI's app maintains strong free-download momentum.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$9,481
End Date
Jul 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 8:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ChatGPT" at 35%, followed by "TikTok Pro - Events" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?" is "ChatGPT" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "TikTok Pro - Events" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.