SpaceX's closely matched Polymarket odds around the $105–$120 share-price bands reflect trader uncertainty over near-term valuation drivers amid active launch operations. Recent Falcon 9 and Starlink missions, coupled with ongoing Starship V3 propulsion redesigns and planned commercial lunar and interplanetary flights, continue to support revenue momentum from government contracts and satellite broadband growth. Competitive dynamics hinge on launch cadence sustainability, regulatory approvals for expanded Starlink deployment, and any updates to secondary-market tender pricing, which historically track milestones like successful booster recoveries or new NASA payloads. With probabilities clustered near 47–49 percent, modest shifts in weekly trading volume or macroeconomic risk appetite could readily reprice the week-of-August-3 close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSpaceX (SPCX) closes week of Aug 3 at ___?
$90-$95 49%
$100-$105 49%
$105-$110 49%
$125-$130 48%
<$85
47%
$85-$90
46%
$90-$95
49%
$95-$100
48%
$100-$105
49%
$105-$110
49%
$110-$115
47%
$115-$120
46%
$120-$125
47%
$125-$130
48%
>$130
47%
$90-$95 49%
$100-$105 49%
$105-$110 49%
$125-$130 48%
<$85
47%
$85-$90
46%
$90-$95
49%
$95-$100
48%
$100-$105
49%
$105-$110
49%
$110-$115
47%
$115-$120
46%
$120-$125
47%
$125-$130
48%
>$130
47%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's closely matched Polymarket odds around the $105–$120 share-price bands reflect trader uncertainty over near-term valuation drivers amid active launch operations. Recent Falcon 9 and Starlink missions, coupled with ongoing Starship V3 propulsion redesigns and planned commercial lunar and interplanetary flights, continue to support revenue momentum from government contracts and satellite broadband growth. Competitive dynamics hinge on launch cadence sustainability, regulatory approvals for expanded Starlink deployment, and any updates to secondary-market tender pricing, which historically track milestones like successful booster recoveries or new NASA payloads. With probabilities clustered near 47–49 percent, modest shifts in weekly trading volume or macroeconomic risk appetite could readily reprice the week-of-August-3 close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions