Democratic control of the House remains insufficient to advance articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, which were introduced in April 2026 over allegations tied to military actions in Iran and referred to the Judiciary Committee without further action. The Republican majority shows no inclination to schedule hearings, debate, or a floor vote in the 13 days left before the June 30 resolution deadline, consistent with historical patterns where opposition-led resolutions stall absent bipartisan consensus or urgent new evidence. Traders assign a 98.9% probability to “No” because the procedural calendar and chamber arithmetic leave no realistic path for House passage. A late-breaking scandal or unexpected Republican defections could theoretically compress timelines, though both remain improbable given current legislative priorities and the limited session days remaining.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPete Hegseth impeached by...?
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?
$170,014 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
49%
$170,014 Vol.
December 31, 2026
$6 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Democratic control of the House remains insufficient to advance articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, which were introduced in April 2026 over allegations tied to military actions in Iran and referred to the Judiciary Committee without further action. The Republican majority shows no inclination to schedule hearings, debate, or a floor vote in the 13 days left before the June 30 resolution deadline, consistent with historical patterns where opposition-led resolutions stall absent bipartisan consensus or urgent new evidence. Traders assign a 98.9% probability to “No” because the procedural calendar and chamber arithmetic leave no realistic path for House passage. A late-breaking scandal or unexpected Republican defections could theoretically compress timelines, though both remain improbable given current legislative priorities and the limited session days remaining.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 28, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Volume
$170,014End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 28, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Democratic control of the House remains insufficient to advance articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, which were introduced in April 2026 over allegations tied to military actions in Iran and referred to the Judiciary Committee without further action. The Republican majority shows no inclination to schedule hearings, debate, or a floor vote in the 13 days left before the June 30 resolution deadline, consistent with historical patterns where opposition-led resolutions stall absent bipartisan consensus or urgent new evidence. Traders assign a 98.9% probability to “No” because the procedural calendar and chamber arithmetic leave no realistic path for House passage. A late-breaking scandal or unexpected Republican defections could theoretically compress timelines, though both remain improbable given current legislative priorities and the limited session days remaining.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$170,014End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 28, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democratic control of the House remains insufficient to advance articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, which were introduced in April 2026 over allegations tied to military actions in Iran and referred to the Judiciary Committee without further action. The Republican majority shows no inclination to schedule hearings, debate, or a floor vote in the 13 days left before the June 30 resolution deadline, consistent with historical patterns where opposition-led resolutions stall absent bipartisan consensus or urgent new evidence. Traders assign a 98.9% probability to “No” because the procedural calendar and chamber arithmetic leave no realistic path for House passage. A late-breaking scandal or unexpected Republican defections could theoretically compress timelines, though both remain improbable given current legislative priorities and the limited session days remaining.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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