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Finance·NVDA

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above ___ end of July?

icon for Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above ___ end of July?
Finance·NVDA

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above ___ end of July?

Jul 31

Jul 31

NEW
Jul 31, 2026
Polymarket

$9,516 Vol.

Polymarket

$140

$420 Vol.

97%

$150

$987 Vol.

99%

$160

$413 Vol.

99%

$170

$55 Vol.

98%

$180

$1,120 Vol.

95%

$190

$3,347 Vol.

77%

$200

$642 Vol.

29%

$210

$1,272 Vol.

9%

$220

$111 Vol.

6%

$230

$71 Vol.

10%

$240

$238 Vol.

2%

$250

$206 Vol.

7%

$260

$633 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.NVIDIA shares, recently trading near $192.50 after pulling back from May highs above $236, reflect robust data-center demand for Blackwell AI accelerators that drove fiscal 2026 revenue to $215.9 billion. Traders are pricing continued momentum from the RTX Spark PC chip reveal at Computex and analyst upgrades, tempered by China export restrictions and elevated valuations near 31 times forward earnings. With the next earnings release scheduled for late August, July price action will hinge on AI spending trends, broader tech sentiment, and any shifts in monetary policy expectations ahead of the end-of-month close.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$9,516
End Date
Jul 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.NVIDIA shares, recently trading near $192.50 after pulling back from May highs above $236, reflect robust data-center demand for Blackwell AI accelerators that drove fiscal 2026 revenue to $215.9 billion. Traders are pricing continued momentum from the RTX Spark PC chip reveal at Computex and analyst upgrades, tempered by China export restrictions and elevated valuations near 31 times forward earnings. With the next earnings release scheduled for late August, July price action will hinge on AI spending trends, broader tech sentiment, and any shifts in monetary policy expectations ahead of the end-of-month close.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$9,516
End Date
Jul 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above ___ end of July?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$150" at 99%, followed by "$160" at 99%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above ___ end of July?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above ___ end of July?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above ___ end of July?" is "$150" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$160" at 99%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above ___ end of July?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.