Microsoft's stock, trading near $494–500 intraday on August 13 following an August 12 close of $492.43, reflects ongoing momentum from its July 29 fiscal Q4 2026 earnings beat, where revenue reached $90 billion (18% YoY) and adjusted EPS hit $4.74 against $4.23 consensus estimates, fueled by Azure cloud and AI infrastructure demand. High capital expenditures for data centers and AI chip development remain key margin watchpoints, with the company preparing to ramp in-house silicon production later in 2026. Trader focus centers on sustaining cloud growth rates amid competitive AI pressures, while the upcoming August 20 ex-dividend date for the $0.91 quarterly payout and broader tech sector flows tied to Treasury yields and risk appetite add near-term volatility. Analyst price targets cluster around $550–567, underscoring expectations for continued AI-driven expansion.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Aug 13, 2026
$480
91%
$490
95%
$500
3%
$510
6%
$520
2%
$480 Vol.
$480
$21 Vol.
91%
$490
$100 Vol.
95%
$500
$320 Vol.
3%
$510
$17 Vol.
6%
$520
$22 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on August 13, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.Microsoft's stock, trading near $494–500 intraday on August 13 following an August 12 close of $492.43, reflects ongoing momentum from its July 29 fiscal Q4 2026 earnings beat, where revenue reached $90 billion (18% YoY) and adjusted EPS hit $4.74 against $4.23 consensus estimates, fueled by Azure cloud and AI infrastructure demand. High capital expenditures for data centers and AI chip development remain key margin watchpoints, with the company preparing to ramp in-house silicon production later in 2026. Trader focus centers on sustaining cloud growth rates amid competitive AI pressures, while the upcoming August 20 ex-dividend date for the $0.91 quarterly payout and broader tech sector flows tied to Treasury yields and risk appetite add near-term volatility. Analyst price targets cluster around $550–567, underscoring expectations for continued AI-driven expansion.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on August 13, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Volume
$480End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on August 13, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.Microsoft's stock, trading near $494–500 intraday on August 13 following an August 12 close of $492.43, reflects ongoing momentum from its July 29 fiscal Q4 2026 earnings beat, where revenue reached $90 billion (18% YoY) and adjusted EPS hit $4.74 against $4.23 consensus estimates, fueled by Azure cloud and AI infrastructure demand. High capital expenditures for data centers and AI chip development remain key margin watchpoints, with the company preparing to ramp in-house silicon production later in 2026. Trader focus centers on sustaining cloud growth rates amid competitive AI pressures, while the upcoming August 20 ex-dividend date for the $0.91 quarterly payout and broader tech sector flows tied to Treasury yields and risk appetite add near-term volatility. Analyst price targets cluster around $550–567, underscoring expectations for continued AI-driven expansion.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on August 13, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Volume
$480End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Microsoft's stock, trading near $494–500 intraday on August 13 following an August 12 close of $492.43, reflects ongoing momentum from its July 29 fiscal Q4 2026 earnings beat, where revenue reached $90 billion (18% YoY) and adjusted EPS hit $4.74 against $4.23 consensus estimates, fueled by Azure cloud and AI infrastructure demand. High capital expenditures for data centers and AI chip development remain key margin watchpoints, with the company preparing to ramp in-house silicon production later in 2026. Trader focus centers on sustaining cloud growth rates amid competitive AI pressures, while the upcoming August 20 ex-dividend date for the $0.91 quarterly payout and broader tech sector flows tied to Treasury yields and risk appetite add near-term volatility. Analyst price targets cluster around $550–567, underscoring expectations for continued AI-driven expansion.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions