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icon for MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?
Sports·Aaron Judge

MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?

icon for MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?
Sports·Aaron Judge

MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?

Judge

7% chance
Polymarket

$28,830 Vol.

Judge

7% chance
Polymarket

$28,830 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Soto’s elite plate discipline and career-high walk rates per plate appearance underpin trader consensus at 85% implied probability for the Mets outfielder to finish 2026 with more total walks than Judge. Soto has posted a .393 OBP with just 33 strikeouts through 57 games, reflecting his patient approach and ability to work deep counts regardless of lineup spot. Judge, meanwhile, has drawn 42 walks in 59 games but carries a 72-strikeout total and entered the 10-day injured list in early June, reducing his remaining opportunities. Historical patterns show Soto sustaining higher walk rates over full seasons, while Judge’s power-focused style and occasional absences create a sizable edge for Soto in cumulative totals.

This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,830
End Date
Sep 28, 2026
Market Opened
May 22, 2026, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Soto’s elite plate discipline and career-high walk rates per plate appearance underpin trader consensus at 85% implied probability for the Mets outfielder to finish 2026 with more total walks than Judge. Soto has posted a .393 OBP with just 33 strikeouts through 57 games, reflecting his patient approach and ability to work deep counts regardless of lineup spot. Judge, meanwhile, has drawn 42 walks in 59 games but carries a 72-strikeout total and entered the 10-day injured list in early June, reducing his remaining opportunities. Historical patterns show Soto sustaining higher walk rates over full seasons, while Judge’s power-focused style and occasional absences create a sizable edge for Soto in cumulative totals.

This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,830
End Date
Sep 28, 2026
Market Opened
May 22, 2026, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?" has generated $28.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?" is "MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?" at just 7%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.