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Sports·MLB

MLB: Home Runs Leader

icon for MLB: Home Runs Leader
Sports·MLB

MLB: Home Runs Leader

Yordan Alvarez 40.1%

Kyle Schwarber 39%

Junior Caminero 5.4%

Ben Rice 4.2%

Polymarket

$3,114,904 Vol.

Yordan Alvarez 40.1%

Kyle Schwarber 39%

Junior Caminero 5.4%

Ben Rice 4.2%

Polymarket

$3,114,904 Vol.

Yordan Alvarez

$6,133 Vol.

40%

Kyle Schwarber

$14,434 Vol.

39%

Junior Caminero

$1,069 Vol.

5%

Ben Rice

$1,259 Vol.

11%

James Wood

$1,759 Vol.

3%

Matt Olson

$1,644 Vol.

1%

Shohei Ohtani

$623 Vol.

1%

Aaron Judge

$4,394 Vol.

1%

Mike Trout

$1,747,629 Vol.

<1%

Juan Soto

$647,543 Vol.

<1%

CJ Abrams

$202,799 Vol.

<1%

Eugenio Suarez

$569 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Lowe

$469,417 Vol.

<1%

Cal Raleigh

$663 Vol.

<1%

Rafael Devers

$587 Vol.

<1%

Munetaka Murakami

$7,731 Vol.

<1%

Sal Stewart

$600 Vol.

<1%

Elly De La Cruz

$835 Vol.

<1%

Nick Kurtz

$1,336 Vol.

<1%

Jordan Walker

$556 Vol.

<1%

Pete Alonso

$368 Vol.

<1%

Giancarlo Stanton

$560 Vol.

<1%

George Springer

$508 Vol.

<1%

Shea Langeliers

$1,341 Vol.

<1%

Manny Machado

$547 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber leads MLB with 25 home runs through mid-June 2026, ahead of Yordan Alvarez’s 24, reflecting his consistent power surge for the Phillies and recent milestone blasts including his 25th on June 16. Alvarez maintains strong pace with elite contact rates, high OPS, and AL-leading production, narrowing the gap despite fewer total games played. Younger power threats like James Wood and Nick Kurtz appear in the top tier due to early-season surges and projected volume, while established names such as Matt Olson, Juan Soto, and Aaron Judge trail amid slower starts or injury recoveries. The trader consensus prices Schwarber’s narrow edge and durability as the primary driver, with Alvarez’s health and hitting profile providing the clearest chase scenario over the remaining schedule.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,114,904
End Date
Sep 28, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber leads MLB with 25 home runs through mid-June 2026, ahead of Yordan Alvarez’s 24, reflecting his consistent power surge for the Phillies and recent milestone blasts including his 25th on June 16. Alvarez maintains strong pace with elite contact rates, high OPS, and AL-leading production, narrowing the gap despite fewer total games played. Younger power threats like James Wood and Nick Kurtz appear in the top tier due to early-season surges and projected volume, while established names such as Matt Olson, Juan Soto, and Aaron Judge trail amid slower starts or injury recoveries. The trader consensus prices Schwarber’s narrow edge and durability as the primary driver, with Alvarez’s health and hitting profile providing the clearest chase scenario over the remaining schedule.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,114,904
End Date
Sep 28, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Home Runs Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 25 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Yordan Alvarez" at 40%, followed by "Kyle Schwarber" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: Home Runs Leader" has generated $3.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: Home Runs Leader," browse the 25 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: Home Runs Leader" is "Yordan Alvarez" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kyle Schwarber" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Home Runs Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.