Michigan’s Democratic U.S. Senate primary on August 4 features a tight contest between U.S. Rep. Haley Stevens and Abdul El-Sayed in Genesee County after state Sen. Mallory McMorrow suspended her campaign earlier in July. Recent polling averages show the two candidates statistically tied statewide, with small shifts tied to the final head-to-head debate and differing fundraising profiles. Stevens draws support from moderates and suburban voters on the basis of her congressional record, while El-Sayed benefits from progressive endorsements and emphasis on public health and corporate influence issues. The narrow spread in trader pricing reflects limited county-specific data, the short time until ballots are cast, and uncertainty over turnout patterns among Democratic primary voters in the Flint area. Late developments such as debate fallout or last-minute mobilization could widen the margin in either direction before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Aug 4, 2026
Haley Stevens
45%
Abdul El-Sayed
42%
NEW
NEW
Aug 4, 2026
Haley Stevens
$0 Vol.
45%
Abdul El-Sayed
$0 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Genesee County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Genesee County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.Michigan’s Democratic U.S. Senate primary on August 4 features a tight contest between U.S. Rep. Haley Stevens and Abdul El-Sayed in Genesee County after state Sen. Mallory McMorrow suspended her campaign earlier in July. Recent polling averages show the two candidates statistically tied statewide, with small shifts tied to the final head-to-head debate and differing fundraising profiles. Stevens draws support from moderates and suburban voters on the basis of her congressional record, while El-Sayed benefits from progressive endorsements and emphasis on public health and corporate influence issues. The narrow spread in trader pricing reflects limited county-specific data, the short time until ballots are cast, and uncertainty over turnout patterns among Democratic primary voters in the Flint area. Late developments such as debate fallout or last-minute mobilization could widen the margin in either direction before election day.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Genesee County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Genesee County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Genesee County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 9:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Genesee County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Genesee County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.Michigan’s Democratic U.S. Senate primary on August 4 features a tight contest between U.S. Rep. Haley Stevens and Abdul El-Sayed in Genesee County after state Sen. Mallory McMorrow suspended her campaign earlier in July. Recent polling averages show the two candidates statistically tied statewide, with small shifts tied to the final head-to-head debate and differing fundraising profiles. Stevens draws support from moderates and suburban voters on the basis of her congressional record, while El-Sayed benefits from progressive endorsements and emphasis on public health and corporate influence issues. The narrow spread in trader pricing reflects limited county-specific data, the short time until ballots are cast, and uncertainty over turnout patterns among Democratic primary voters in the Flint area. Late developments such as debate fallout or last-minute mobilization could widen the margin in either direction before election day.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Genesee County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Genesee County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Genesee County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 9:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Michigan’s Democratic U.S. Senate primary on August 4 features a tight contest between U.S. Rep. Haley Stevens and Abdul El-Sayed in Genesee County after state Sen. Mallory McMorrow suspended her campaign earlier in July. Recent polling averages show the two candidates statistically tied statewide, with small shifts tied to the final head-to-head debate and differing fundraising profiles. Stevens draws support from moderates and suburban voters on the basis of her congressional record, while El-Sayed benefits from progressive endorsements and emphasis on public health and corporate influence issues. The narrow spread in trader pricing reflects limited county-specific data, the short time until ballots are cast, and uncertainty over turnout patterns among Democratic primary voters in the Flint area. Late developments such as debate fallout or last-minute mobilization could widen the margin in either direction before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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