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Sports·Golf

LIV Golf: New York Individual Winner

icon for LIV Golf: New York Individual Winner
Sports·Golf

LIV Golf: New York Individual Winner

Winner

Top 5

Top 10

Top 20

Winner

Top 5

Top 10

Top 20

Phil Mickelson 36.5%

Elvis Smylie 28.3%

Tom McKibbin 17.0%

Peter Uihlein 16.5%

Polymarket

$19,886 Vol.

Phil Mickelson 36.5%

Elvis Smylie 28.3%

Tom McKibbin 17.0%

Peter Uihlein 16.5%

Polymarket

$19,886 Vol.

Phil Mickelson

$0 Vol.

37%

Elvis Smylie

$0 Vol.

28%

Tom McKibbin

$0 Vol.

17%

Peter Uihlein

$0 Vol.

17%

Branden Grace

$0 Vol.

17%

Bubba Watson

$0 Vol.

17%

Luis Masaveu

$590 Vol.

17%

Ian Poulter

$702 Vol.

16%

Graeme McDowell

$1,100 Vol.

16%

Matthew Wolff

$0 Vol.

16%

Anthony Kim

$0 Vol.

16%

Bryson DeChambeau

$0 Vol.

16%

Yosuke Asaji

$1,100 Vol.

16%

Danny Lee

$1,100 Vol.

16%

Martin Kaymer

$1,000 Vol.

16%

Abraham Ancer

$0 Vol.

16%

Sergio Garcia

$0 Vol.

16%

Jason Kokrak

$670 Vol.

16%

Paul Casey

$0 Vol.

16%

Charl Schwartzel

$691 Vol.

15%

Sam Horsfield

$1,100 Vol.

15%

Anirban Lahiri

$1,100 Vol.

15%

Ben Campbell

$1,100 Vol.

15%

Brendan Steele

$780 Vol.

15%

Caleb Surratt

$0 Vol.

15%

Travis Smyth

$590 Vol.

15%

Martin Vorster

$110 Vol.

14%

Joaquin Niemann

$0 Vol.

13%

Michael La Sasso

$1,014 Vol.

13%

Jon Rahm

$0 Vol.

12%

Lee Westwood

$602 Vol.

12%

Carlos Ortiz

$0 Vol.

11%

David Puig

$0 Vol.

11%

Bjoern Hellgren

$1,100 Vol.

11%

Min-Kyu Kim

$1,100 Vol.

11%

Charles Howell III

$0 Vol.

10%

Dustin Johnson

$0 Vol.

10%

Scott Vincent

$0 Vol.

10%

Victor Perez

$0 Vol.

10%

Sebastian Munoz

$0 Vol.

8%

Do-Yeob Mun

$1,099 Vol.

8%

Louis Oosthuizen

$0 Vol.

8%

Cameron Tringale

$312 Vol.

7%

Talor Gooch

$0 Vol.

7%

Tyrrell Hatton

$0 Vol.

7%

Miguel Tabuena

$1,167 Vol.

6%

Cameron Smith

$0 Vol.

5%

Dean Burmester

$0 Vol.

5%

Lucas Herbert

$0 Vol.

5%

Marc Leishman

$0 Vol.

5%

Thomas Detry

$0 Vol.

5%

Byeong-Hun An

$0 Vol.

4%

Harold Varner III

$0 Vol.

4%

Jose Luis Ballester

$0 Vol.

4%

Thomas Pieters

$0 Vol.

4%

Adrian Meronk

$1,100 Vol.

4%

Laurie Canter

$0 Vol.

4%

Richard T. Lee

$120 Vol.

1%

Richard Bland

$320 Vol.

1%

Young-Han Song

$220 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 New York Individual tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the New York Individual tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the New York Individual tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by LIV Golf official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by August 16, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the LIV Golf website (https://www.livgolf.com/).Traders in the LIV Golf New York individual winner market assign the highest implied probability to Phil Mickelson at 36.5 percent, followed by Elvis Smylie at 28.3 percent, reflecting Mickelson’s extensive experience at Trump National Golf Club Bedminster and Smylie’s breakout 2026 form after his season-opening victory in Riyadh. Tom McKibbin, Branden Grace, and Bubba Watson sit near 16–17 percent amid a deep field that includes Jon Rahm and Bryson DeChambeau, who lead the season-long individual standings. The event at the familiar New Jersey layout rewards course knowledge and recent ball-striking consistency, while roster and injury updates continue to shape positioning ahead of the August 6–9 start. Market pricing captures the wisdom of crowds assessing these variables for the penultimate 2026 LIV stop.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 New York Individual tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the New York Individual tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the New York Individual tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by LIV Golf official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by August 16, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the LIV Golf website (https://www.livgolf.com/).
Volume
$19,886
End Date
Aug 10, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 11:20 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.livgolf.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 New York Individual tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the New York Individual tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the New York Individual tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by LIV Golf official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by August 16, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the LIV Golf website (https://www.livgolf.com/).
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 New York Individual tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the New York Individual tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the New York Individual tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by LIV Golf official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by August 16, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the LIV Golf website (https://www.livgolf.com/).Traders in the LIV Golf New York individual winner market assign the highest implied probability to Phil Mickelson at 36.5 percent, followed by Elvis Smylie at 28.3 percent, reflecting Mickelson’s extensive experience at Trump National Golf Club Bedminster and Smylie’s breakout 2026 form after his season-opening victory in Riyadh. Tom McKibbin, Branden Grace, and Bubba Watson sit near 16–17 percent amid a deep field that includes Jon Rahm and Bryson DeChambeau, who lead the season-long individual standings. The event at the familiar New Jersey layout rewards course knowledge and recent ball-striking consistency, while roster and injury updates continue to shape positioning ahead of the August 6–9 start. Market pricing captures the wisdom of crowds assessing these variables for the penultimate 2026 LIV stop.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 New York Individual tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the New York Individual tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the New York Individual tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by LIV Golf official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by August 16, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the LIV Golf website (https://www.livgolf.com/).
Volume
$19,886
End Date
Aug 10, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 11:20 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.livgolf.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 New York Individual tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the New York Individual tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the New York Individual tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by LIV Golf official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by August 16, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the LIV Golf website (https://www.livgolf.com/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"LIV Golf: New York Individual Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 60+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Phil Mickelson" at 37%, followed by "Elvis Smylie" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "LIV Golf: New York Individual Winner" has generated $19.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "LIV Golf: New York Individual Winner," browse the 60+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "LIV Golf: New York Individual Winner" is "Phil Mickelson" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Elvis Smylie" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "LIV Golf: New York Individual Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.