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Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?

icon for Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?

Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?

NEW
Aug 31, 2026
Polymarket

$252 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for ≥85 mph

≥85 mph

$104 Vol.

75%

icon for ≥90 mph

≥90 mph

$105 Vol.

74%

icon for ≥95 mph

≥95 mph

$44 Vol.

73%

icon for ≥100 mph

≥100 mph

$0 Vol.

52%

icon for ≥105 mph

≥105 mph

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for ≥110 mph

≥110 mph

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for ≥115 mph

≥115 mph

$0 Vol.

45%

This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mount Washington Observatory instruments at 6,288 feet routinely record gusts driven by steep pressure gradients and orographic effects, though August averages are markedly lower than winter peaks due to weaker synoptic systems. Historical August maxima, such as the 147 mph gust tied to Tropical Storm Isaias, underscore how landfalling or nearby tropical cyclones can produce the month's strongest winds. With 2026 hurricane season forecasts indicating near-normal Atlantic activity and no major systems imminent as of late July, trader consensus reflects limited near-term catalysts for extreme readings. Upcoming National Hurricane Center updates and regional model runs through early August will refine steering patterns and intensity projections that directly inform resolution thresholds.

This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026.

The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/.

The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$252
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 1:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mount Washington Observatory instruments at 6,288 feet routinely record gusts driven by steep pressure gradients and orographic effects, though August averages are markedly lower than winter peaks due to weaker synoptic systems. Historical August maxima, such as the 147 mph gust tied to Tropical Storm Isaias, underscore how landfalling or nearby tropical cyclones can produce the month's strongest winds. With 2026 hurricane season forecasts indicating near-normal Atlantic activity and no major systems imminent as of late July, trader consensus reflects limited near-term catalysts for extreme readings. Upcoming National Hurricane Center updates and regional model runs through early August will refine steering patterns and intensity projections that directly inform resolution thresholds.

This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026.

The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/.

The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$252
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 1:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in August, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "≥85 mph" at 75%, followed by "≥90 mph" at 74%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?" is "≥85 mph" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "≥90 mph" at 74%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.