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icon for García out as Governor of Nuevo León by…?

García out as Governor of Nuevo León by…?

icon for García out as Governor of Nuevo León by…?

García out as Governor of Nuevo León by…?

NEW
Jul 31, 2026
Polymarket

$451 Vol.

Polymarket

July 31, 2026

$335 Vol.

4%

December 31, 2026

$115 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Samuel García ceases to be the Governor of Nuevo León, Mexico, for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Samuel García’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Samuel García and the government of Nuevo León; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent impeachment proceedings in the Nuevo León Congress represent the primary catalyst for trader focus on Samuel García's tenure. The Anti-Corruption Commission approved advancing a political trial against the governor on allegations of diverting nearly one billion pesos in public funds to family-linked firms, marking the third such effort during his term. García has until June 23 to respond, after which the full 42-member legislature must secure at least 28 votes to forward the case to the state superior tribunal, with a potential final ruling projected for mid-August. Opposition parties hold the commission majority, while García's Movimiento Ciudadano bloc and public approval ratings near 63 percent provide counter-pressure. No scheduled elections or voluntary resignation signals have emerged, though legislative votes and any related court actions within the market window could alter removal probabilities.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Samuel García ceases to be the Governor of Nuevo León, Mexico, for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Samuel García’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Samuel García and the government of Nuevo León; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$451
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 8:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Samuel García ceases to be the Governor of Nuevo León, Mexico, for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Samuel García’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Samuel García and the government of Nuevo León; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Samuel García ceases to be the Governor of Nuevo León, Mexico, for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Samuel García’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Samuel García and the government of Nuevo León; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent impeachment proceedings in the Nuevo León Congress represent the primary catalyst for trader focus on Samuel García's tenure. The Anti-Corruption Commission approved advancing a political trial against the governor on allegations of diverting nearly one billion pesos in public funds to family-linked firms, marking the third such effort during his term. García has until June 23 to respond, after which the full 42-member legislature must secure at least 28 votes to forward the case to the state superior tribunal, with a potential final ruling projected for mid-August. Opposition parties hold the commission majority, while García's Movimiento Ciudadano bloc and public approval ratings near 63 percent provide counter-pressure. No scheduled elections or voluntary resignation signals have emerged, though legislative votes and any related court actions within the market window could alter removal probabilities.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Samuel García ceases to be the Governor of Nuevo León, Mexico, for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Samuel García’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Samuel García and the government of Nuevo León; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$451
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 8:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Samuel García ceases to be the Governor of Nuevo León, Mexico, for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Samuel García’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Samuel García and the government of Nuevo León; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"García out as Governor of Nuevo León by…?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31, 2026" at 13%, followed by "July 31, 2026" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"García out as Governor of Nuevo León by…?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "García out as Governor of Nuevo León by…?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "García out as Governor of Nuevo León by…?" is "December 31, 2026" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "July 31, 2026" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "García out as Governor of Nuevo León by…?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.