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icon for Florida Governor Republican Primary Second Place
Politics·Primaries

Florida Governor Republican Primary Second Place

icon for Florida Governor Republican Primary Second Place
Politics·Primaries

Florida Governor Republican Primary Second Place

Jay Collins 49%

James Fishback 41%

Arthur Joseph McCaffrey 7.5%

James Walker Shaw 4.5%

Polymarket

$15,946 Vol.

Jay Collins 49%

James Fishback 41%

Arthur Joseph McCaffrey 7.5%

James Walker Shaw 4.5%

Polymarket

$15,946 Vol.

icon for Jay Collins

Jay Collins

$9,285 Vol.

54%

icon for James Fishback

James Fishback

$4,586 Vol.

41%

icon for Arthur Joseph McCaffrey

Arthur Joseph McCaffrey

$305 Vol.

8%

icon for James Walker Shaw

James Walker Shaw

$255 Vol.

5%

icon for Bobby Williams

Bobby Williams

$300 Vol.

4%

icon for Daniel Nokovich

Daniel Nokovich

$291 Vol.

4%

icon for Paul Renner

Paul Renner

$181 Vol.

2%

icon for Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds

$61 Vol.

1%

icon for Caneste Succe

Caneste Succe

$213 Vol.

1%

icon for Jim Holcomb

Jim Holcomb

$222 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rachel Rodriguez

Rachel Rodriguez

$247 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the individual who places second in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The Florida Republican primary for governor remains open on August 18, 2026, with Byron Donalds holding a clear lead in recent polling and fundraising while second place stays fragmented among Lt. Gov. Jay Collins, James Fishback, Paul Renner, and several lower-tier contenders. Recent surveys show Collins often edging the rest of the field in the low-to-mid teens or higher in campaign-specific data, yet more than a quarter of voters remain undecided and support among the non-Donalds candidates stays closely bunched. Rivals have intensified pressure for additional debates and public scrutiny in the final stretch, which could shift visibility and momentum. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no candidate establishing durable separation in the second spot ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the individual who places second in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$15,946
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who places second in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the individual who places second in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The Florida Republican primary for governor remains open on August 18, 2026, with Byron Donalds holding a clear lead in recent polling and fundraising while second place stays fragmented among Lt. Gov. Jay Collins, James Fishback, Paul Renner, and several lower-tier contenders. Recent surveys show Collins often edging the rest of the field in the low-to-mid teens or higher in campaign-specific data, yet more than a quarter of voters remain undecided and support among the non-Donalds candidates stays closely bunched. Rivals have intensified pressure for additional debates and public scrutiny in the final stretch, which could shift visibility and momentum. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no candidate establishing durable separation in the second spot ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the individual who places second in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$15,946
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who places second in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Florida Governor Republican Primary Second Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jay Collins" at 54%, followed by "James Fishback" at 41%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Florida Governor Republican Primary Second Place" has generated $15.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Florida Governor Republican Primary Second Place," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Florida Governor Republican Primary Second Place" is "Jay Collins" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "James Fishback" at 41%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Florida Governor Republican Primary Second Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.