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Sports·Formula 1

F1: Action of the Year

icon for F1: Action of the Year
Sports·Formula 1

F1: Action of the Year

Kimi Antonelli 51%

Max Verstappen 28.9%

Arvid Lindblad 13.4%

Lewis Hamilton 13.2%

Polymarket

$165,605 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli 51%

Max Verstappen 28.9%

Arvid Lindblad 13.4%

Lewis Hamilton 13.2%

Polymarket

$165,605 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli

$2,556 Vol.

41%

Max Verstappen

$854 Vol.

16%

Arvid Lindblad

$363 Vol.

13%

Lewis Hamilton

$932 Vol.

9%

Charles Leclerc

$509 Vol.

11%

Franco Colapinto

$540 Vol.

18%

Lando Norris

$449 Vol.

3%

Carlos Sainz

$3,976 Vol.

3%

Alexander Albon

$3,231 Vol.

3%

Nico Hulkenberg

$345 Vol.

3%

George Russell

$416 Vol.

3%

Liam Lawson

$385 Vol.

2%

Oscar Piastri

$636 Vol.

2%

Fernando Alonso

$23,238 Vol.

2%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$372 Vol.

1%

Pierre Gasly

$26,188 Vol.

1%

Oliver Bearman

$29,199 Vol.

1%

Isack Hadjar

$598 Vol.

1%

Esteban Ocon

$339 Vol.

1%

Sergio Perez

$26,989 Vol.

1%

Valtteri Bottas

$43,089 Vol.

1%

Lance Stroll

$399 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the driver who wins the 2026 Action of the Year award for the 2026 Formula 1 season as awarded at the FIA Awards. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kimi Antonelli leads trader consensus in the F1 Action of the Year market at 51% implied probability, driven by his breakout 2026 rookie campaign with Mercedes that includes multiple consecutive Grand Prix victories, an early championship lead, and a dramatic late-race mechanical DNF at the Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix after an overtake on teammate George Russell. This high-visibility setback, which handed victory to Lewis Hamilton, amplified attention around the young Italian’s season-long form and reliability issues under the new regulations. Nico Hulkenberg sits second at 34.4% on consistent midfield performances and veteran standout moments, while Arvid Lindblad at 28.3% reflects junior driver hype and potential breakthrough laps. Lower probabilities for drivers like Alexander Albon and Charles Leclerc track fewer headline-grabbing incidents relative to Antonelli’s dominant narrative. Market pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds weighting recent on-track drama and season momentum over historical benchmarks.

This market will resolve to the driver who wins the 2026 Action of the Year award for the 2026 Formula 1 season as awarded at the FIA Awards.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$165,605
End Date
Dec 13, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 10, 2026, 6:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the driver who wins the 2026 Action of the Year award for the 2026 Formula 1 season as awarded at the FIA Awards. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the driver who wins the 2026 Action of the Year award for the 2026 Formula 1 season as awarded at the FIA Awards. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kimi Antonelli leads trader consensus in the F1 Action of the Year market at 51% implied probability, driven by his breakout 2026 rookie campaign with Mercedes that includes multiple consecutive Grand Prix victories, an early championship lead, and a dramatic late-race mechanical DNF at the Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix after an overtake on teammate George Russell. This high-visibility setback, which handed victory to Lewis Hamilton, amplified attention around the young Italian’s season-long form and reliability issues under the new regulations. Nico Hulkenberg sits second at 34.4% on consistent midfield performances and veteran standout moments, while Arvid Lindblad at 28.3% reflects junior driver hype and potential breakthrough laps. Lower probabilities for drivers like Alexander Albon and Charles Leclerc track fewer headline-grabbing incidents relative to Antonelli’s dominant narrative. Market pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds weighting recent on-track drama and season momentum over historical benchmarks.

This market will resolve to the driver who wins the 2026 Action of the Year award for the 2026 Formula 1 season as awarded at the FIA Awards.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$165,605
End Date
Dec 13, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 10, 2026, 6:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the driver who wins the 2026 Action of the Year award for the 2026 Formula 1 season as awarded at the FIA Awards. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"F1: Action of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 41%, followed by "Franco Colapinto" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "F1: Action of the Year" has generated $165.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "F1: Action of the Year," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "F1: Action of the Year" is "Kimi Antonelli" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Franco Colapinto" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "F1: Action of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.