Skip to main content
icon for MLB: AL Rookie of the Year
Sports·Rookie

MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

icon for MLB: AL Rookie of the Year
Sports·Rookie

MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

Kevin McGonigle 72%

Munetaka Murakami 17.0%

Chase DeLauter 4.0%

Kazuma Okamoto 2.6%

Polymarket

$1,609,072 Vol.

Kevin McGonigle 72%

Munetaka Murakami 17.0%

Chase DeLauter 4.0%

Kazuma Okamoto 2.6%

Polymarket

$1,609,072 Vol.

Kevin McGonigle

$40,059 Vol.

72%

Munetaka Murakami

$57,169 Vol.

17%

Chase DeLauter

$3,922 Vol.

4%

Kazuma Okamoto

$229,076 Vol.

3%

Samuel Basallo

$1,907 Vol.

1%

Carlos Lagrange

$64,991 Vol.

1%

Spencer Jones

$37,351 Vol.

1%

Dylan Beavers

$1,284 Vol.

1%

Carson Williams

$429,456 Vol.

1%

Max Clark

$62,150 Vol.

1%

Trey Yesavage

$2,671 Vol.

<1%

Travis Bazzana

$4,457 Vol.

<1%

Payton Tolle

$194,401 Vol.

<1%

Carter Jensen

$93,707 Vol.

<1%

Brice Matthews

$139,963 Vol.

<1%

Tatsuya Imai

$805 Vol.

<1%

Connelly Early

$70,407 Vol.

<1%

Colt Emerson

$1,962 Vol.

<1%

Walker Jenkins

$62,474 Vol.

<1%

Leo De Vries

$110,861 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Kevin McGonigle's strong all-around production has driven his heavy lead in the AL Rookie of the Year market.** The Detroit Tigers shortstop/third baseman leads qualified AL rookies in on-base percentage while ranking near the top in average, hits, total bases, and walks-to-strikeouts ratio, posting a .282/.392/.42 line with solid extra-base power through roughly 70 games. Recent hot streaks and Rookie of the Month honors have reinforced trader consensus around his 61.5% implied probability. Munetaka Murakami sits second amid his power surge (20 home runs) but trails due to a lower average, elevated strikeouts, and a recent hamstring injury stint with the White Sox. Lower-priced names such as Travis Bazzana and Colt Emerson trail further behind on playing time and production metrics. Market pricing reflects these verified statistical gaps and injury developments as of mid-June 2026.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,609,072
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Kevin McGonigle's strong all-around production has driven his heavy lead in the AL Rookie of the Year market.** The Detroit Tigers shortstop/third baseman leads qualified AL rookies in on-base percentage while ranking near the top in average, hits, total bases, and walks-to-strikeouts ratio, posting a .282/.392/.42 line with solid extra-base power through roughly 70 games. Recent hot streaks and Rookie of the Month honors have reinforced trader consensus around his 61.5% implied probability. Munetaka Murakami sits second amid his power surge (20 home runs) but trails due to a lower average, elevated strikeouts, and a recent hamstring injury stint with the White Sox. Lower-priced names such as Travis Bazzana and Colt Emerson trail further behind on playing time and production metrics. Market pricing reflects these verified statistical gaps and injury developments as of mid-June 2026.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,609,072
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?

Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?

63%
icon for Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?

Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?

53%
icon for Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

81%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kevin McGonigle" at 72%, followed by "Munetaka Murakami" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" has generated $1.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" is "Kevin McGonigle" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Munetaka Murakami" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: AL Rookie of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.