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icon for Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?
Politics·Tweet Markets

Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?

icon for Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?
Politics·Tweet Markets

Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?

Aug 1

Sep 1

Aug 1

Sep 1

800-839 49.9%

760-799 22.4%

840-879 20.6%

880-919 4.6%

Polymarket

$1,091,860 Vol.

800-839 49.9%

760-799 22.4%

840-879 20.6%

880-919 4.6%

Polymarket

$1,091,860 Vol.

<20

$52,905 Vol.

<1%

20-39

$6,233 Vol.

<1%

40-59

$389 Vol.

<1%

60-79

$5,609 Vol.

<1%

80-99

$2,784 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$3,332 Vol.

<1%

120-139

$2,756 Vol.

<1%

140-159

$3,780 Vol.

<1%

160-179

$2,476 Vol.

<1%

180-199

$3,946 Vol.

<1%

200-219

$4,755 Vol.

<1%

220-239

$5,164 Vol.

<1%

240-259

$5,816 Vol.

<1%

260-279

$18,590 Vol.

<1%

280-299

$20,521 Vol.

<1%

300-319

$20,426 Vol.

<1%

320-339

$11,335 Vol.

<1%

340-359

$11,331 Vol.

<1%

360-379

$17,234 Vol.

<1%

380-399

$18,145 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$11,375 Vol.

<1%

420-439

$11,368 Vol.

<1%

440-459

$17,867 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$22,171 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$27,999 Vol.

<1%

500-519

$20,502 Vol.

<1%

520-539

$12,965 Vol.

<1%

540-559

$18,254 Vol.

<1%

560-579

$17,358 Vol.

<1%

580-599

$30,720 Vol.

<1%

600-639

$29,215 Vol.

<1%

640-679

$37,200 Vol.

<1%

680-719

$34,456 Vol.

<1%

720-759

$46,827 Vol.

1%

760-799

$54,511 Vol.

22%

800-839

$45,421 Vol.

50%

840-879

$40,661 Vol.

21%

880-919

$47,539 Vol.

5%

920-959

$50,781 Vol.

1%

960-999

$52,339 Vol.

<1%

1000-1039

$33,010 Vol.

<1%

1040-1079

$28,310 Vol.

<1%

1080-1119

$21,051 Vol.

<1%

1120-1159

$19,542 Vol.

<1%

1160-1199

$20,479 Vol.

<1%

1200-1239

$17,532 Vol.

<1%

1240-1279

$14,552 Vol.

<1%

1280-1319

$18,143 Vol.

<1%

1320-1359

$19,108 Vol.

<1%

1360-1399

$19,648 Vol.

<1%

1400+

$33,425 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting frequency on X reflects fluctuating daily output shaped by business priorities at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI, alongside platform engagement patterns. Recent months show variable volume, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to the 840-879 and 880-919 ranges amid a broad distribution that peaks modestly above 800 while extending into higher and lower brackets. July’s calendar, including the U.S. holiday period, often correlates with moderated activity compared to peak months, yet sustained high-engagement streaks or product announcements can push totals toward 1,000+. Key differentiators among leading ranges center on whether baseline daily averages near 25-30 persist or whether concentrated reply threads and news-driven surges consolidate support for mid-800s or low-900s outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,091,860
End Date
Aug 1, 2026
Market Opened
May 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting frequency on X reflects fluctuating daily output shaped by business priorities at Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI, alongside platform engagement patterns. Recent months show variable volume, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to the 840-879 and 880-919 ranges amid a broad distribution that peaks modestly above 800 while extending into higher and lower brackets. July’s calendar, including the U.S. holiday period, often correlates with moderated activity compared to peak months, yet sustained high-engagement streaks or product announcements can push totals toward 1,000+. Key differentiators among leading ranges center on whether baseline daily averages near 25-30 persist or whether concentrated reply threads and news-driven surges consolidate support for mid-800s or low-900s outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,091,860
End Date
Aug 1, 2026
Market Opened
May 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of July 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 51+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "800-839" at 50%, followed by "760-799" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on May 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?," browse the 51+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?" is "800-839" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "760-799" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets in July 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.