The Cusco provincial mayoral race for the October 4, 2026, municipal elections remains tightly contested, with a fragmented field of more than a dozen candidates preventing any single contender from establishing a clear lead. Recent local polling shows undecided voters exceeding 50 percent, while top names such as Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar, Sergio Sullca Condori, and William Peña Farfán register comparable support in the low-to-mid 30s among decided respondents. This dynamic, typical of Peruvian local contests featuring regional movements alongside national parties, keeps implied probabilities clustered closely together as traders price in the large undecided bloc and the potential for late campaign shifts through debates, endorsements, or local issue focus on tourism management, heritage protection, and infrastructure. Upcoming registration deadlines and voter outreach efforts could begin to separate the pack before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDelfín Kennedy Quispe Ccalla 37%
Jesyka Guevara Villanueva 37%
Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar 37%
Federico Huamán Tapara 37%

Delfín Kennedy Quispe Ccalla
37%

Jesyka Guevara Villanueva
37%

Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar
37%

Federico Huamán Tapara
37%

Eduardo Zans Loayza
37%

Gabriela Paliza Romero
37%

Iván Hurtado Villafuerte
37%

Víctor Vidal Pino Zambrano
37%

Eulogio Tapia Deza
37%

Sergio Sullca Condori
36%

Elizabeth Mónica Nieto Álvarez
36%

Jorge Rogelio Vargas Febres
36%

Jorge Luis Segura Ttito
36%

William Peña Farfán
36%
Delfín Kennedy Quispe Ccalla 37%
Jesyka Guevara Villanueva 37%
Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar 37%
Federico Huamán Tapara 37%

Delfín Kennedy Quispe Ccalla
37%

Jesyka Guevara Villanueva
37%

Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar
37%

Federico Huamán Tapara
37%

Eduardo Zans Loayza
37%

Gabriela Paliza Romero
37%

Iván Hurtado Villafuerte
37%

Víctor Vidal Pino Zambrano
37%

Eulogio Tapia Deza
37%

Sergio Sullca Condori
36%

Elizabeth Mónica Nieto Álvarez
36%

Jorge Rogelio Vargas Febres
36%

Jorge Luis Segura Ttito
36%

William Peña Farfán
36%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Cusco provincial mayoral race for the October 4, 2026, municipal elections remains tightly contested, with a fragmented field of more than a dozen candidates preventing any single contender from establishing a clear lead. Recent local polling shows undecided voters exceeding 50 percent, while top names such as Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar, Sergio Sullca Condori, and William Peña Farfán register comparable support in the low-to-mid 30s among decided respondents. This dynamic, typical of Peruvian local contests featuring regional movements alongside national parties, keeps implied probabilities clustered closely together as traders price in the large undecided bloc and the potential for late campaign shifts through debates, endorsements, or local issue focus on tourism management, heritage protection, and infrastructure. Upcoming registration deadlines and voter outreach efforts could begin to separate the pack before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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