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Essendon Bombers vs. Sydney Swans

icon for Essendon Bombers vs. Sydney Swans
Sports·Games

Essendon Bombers vs. Sydney Swans

Aug 14

Aug 14

Aug 14

Aug 15

Aug 14

Aug 14

Aug 14

Aug 15

Essendon Bombers

4% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Essendon Bombers

4% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market refers to the AFL match between Essendon Bombers and Sydney Swans, scheduled for August 16 at 2:40AM ET. This market will resolve to "Essendon Bombers" if Essendon Bombers is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Sydney Swans" if Sydney Swans is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Sydney Swans enter the Round 23 clash against Essendon as overwhelming favorites due to their dominant 2026 campaign, sitting second on the AFL ladder with a 16-5 record and strong percentage while the Bombers languish near the bottom at 2-19. Sydney’s recent form includes heavy wins and consistent midfield dominance, contrasting sharply with Essendon’s string of large-margin defeats and defensive vulnerabilities. The matchup at the MCG offers Essendon a nominal home advantage, yet trader consensus reflects the substantial gap in current team strength, recent scoring output, and overall momentum. Even with potential late injury concerns or variable conditions, only a highly unusual collapse or extraordinary individual performance would realistically alter the outcome in Essendon’s favor.

This market refers to the AFL match between Essendon Bombers and Sydney Swans, scheduled for August 16 at 2:40AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Essendon Bombers" if Essendon Bombers is officially credited with the match win.

This market will resolve to "Sydney Swans" if Sydney Swans is officially credited with the match win.

The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Volume
$18
End Date
Aug 23, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 3:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.afl.com.au/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market refers to the AFL match between Essendon Bombers and Sydney Swans, scheduled for August 16 at 2:40AM ET. This market will resolve to "Essendon Bombers" if Essendon Bombers is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Sydney Swans" if Sydney Swans is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the AFL match between Essendon Bombers and Sydney Swans, scheduled for August 16 at 2:40AM ET. This market will resolve to "Essendon Bombers" if Essendon Bombers is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Sydney Swans" if Sydney Swans is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Sydney Swans enter the Round 23 clash against Essendon as overwhelming favorites due to their dominant 2026 campaign, sitting second on the AFL ladder with a 16-5 record and strong percentage while the Bombers languish near the bottom at 2-19. Sydney’s recent form includes heavy wins and consistent midfield dominance, contrasting sharply with Essendon’s string of large-margin defeats and defensive vulnerabilities. The matchup at the MCG offers Essendon a nominal home advantage, yet trader consensus reflects the substantial gap in current team strength, recent scoring output, and overall momentum. Even with potential late injury concerns or variable conditions, only a highly unusual collapse or extraordinary individual performance would realistically alter the outcome in Essendon’s favor.

This market refers to the AFL match between Essendon Bombers and Sydney Swans, scheduled for August 16 at 2:40AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Essendon Bombers" if Essendon Bombers is officially credited with the match win.

This market will resolve to "Sydney Swans" if Sydney Swans is officially credited with the match win.

The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Volume
$18
End Date
Aug 23, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 3:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.afl.com.au/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market refers to the AFL match between Essendon Bombers and Sydney Swans, scheduled for August 16 at 2:40AM ET. This market will resolve to "Essendon Bombers" if Essendon Bombers is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Sydney Swans" if Sydney Swans is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Essendon Bombers vs. Sydney Swans" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Essendon Bombers vs. Sydney Swans" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 4¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 4% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Essendon Bombers vs. Sydney Swans" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Essendon Bombers vs. Sydney Swans," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Essendon Bombers vs. Sydney Swans" is "Essendon Bombers vs. Sydney Swans" at just 4%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Essendon Bombers vs. Sydney Swans" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.