The deep field of top-70 FedEx Cup qualifiers at TPC Southwind keeps second-round leader probabilities tightly bunched ahead of the August 13 start. Strong recent form from players such as Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Justin Rose, and Ludvig Åberg, combined with the course’s emphasis on accuracy off the tee and solid ball-striking, creates numerous realistic paths to the 36-hole lead. Historical patterns at the Memphis venue show frequent mid-pack or lesser-known names atop the leaderboard after two rounds due to variable scoring conditions and the absence of cut pressure in the opening playoff event. With no confirmed injuries or withdrawals altering the roster and all contenders entering on comparable rest, trader consensus reflects broad parity rather than any single standout favorite.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRyan Fox 99%
Matthias Schmid 99%
Ben Griffin 99%
Harry Hall 99%
Ryan Fox
99%
Matthias Schmid
99%
Ben Griffin
99%
Harry Hall
99%
Sung-Jae Im
99%
Bud Cauley
99%
Eric Cole
99%
Ryan Gerard
51%
Hideki Matsuyama
51%
Pierceson Coody
50%
Nicolas Echavarria
50%
Harris English
50%
Steven Fisk
50%
Alex Fitzpatrick
50%
Matt Fitzpatrick
50%
Tommy Fleetwood
50%
Rickie Fowler
50%
Chris Gotterup
50%
Aldrich Potgieter
50%
Shane Lowry
50%
Robert MacIntyre
50%
Ludvig Aberg
50%
Aaron Rai
50%
Kristoffer Reitan
50%
Patrick Rodgers
50%
Justin Rose
50%
Xander Schauffele
50%
Scottie Scheffler
50%
Adam Scott
50%
Alex Smalley
50%
Jordan L. Smith
50%
J.J. Spaun
50%
Jordan Spieth
50%
Sam Stevens
50%
Sepp Straka
50%
Nick Taylor
50%
Sahith Theegala
50%
Justin Thomas
50%
Michael Thorbjornsen
50%
Gary Woodland
50%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
50%
Cameron Young
50%
Akshay Bhatia
50%
Brian Harman
50%
Russell Henley
50%
Ryo Hisatsune
50%
Nicolai Hojgaard
50%
Max Homa
50%
Viktor Hovland
50%
Michael Kim
50%
Si Woo Kim
50%
Tom Kim
50%
Kurt Kitayama
50%
Jake Knapp
50%
Jackson Koivun
50%
Min Woo Lee
50%
Jacob Bridgeman
50%
Sam Burns
50%
Patrick Cantlay
50%
Ricky Castillo
50%
Wyndham Clark
50%
Corey Conners
50%
Matt McCarty
50%
Rory McIlroy
50%
Maverick McNealy
50%
Keith Mitchell
50%
Collin Morikawa
50%
Alexander Noren
50%
JT Poston
50%
Ryan Fox 99%
Matthias Schmid 99%
Ben Griffin 99%
Harry Hall 99%
Ryan Fox
99%
Matthias Schmid
99%
Ben Griffin
99%
Harry Hall
99%
Sung-Jae Im
99%
Bud Cauley
99%
Eric Cole
99%
Ryan Gerard
51%
Hideki Matsuyama
51%
Pierceson Coody
50%
Nicolas Echavarria
50%
Harris English
50%
Steven Fisk
50%
Alex Fitzpatrick
50%
Matt Fitzpatrick
50%
Tommy Fleetwood
50%
Rickie Fowler
50%
Chris Gotterup
50%
Aldrich Potgieter
50%
Shane Lowry
50%
Robert MacIntyre
50%
Ludvig Aberg
50%
Aaron Rai
50%
Kristoffer Reitan
50%
Patrick Rodgers
50%
Justin Rose
50%
Xander Schauffele
50%
Scottie Scheffler
50%
Adam Scott
50%
Alex Smalley
50%
Jordan L. Smith
50%
J.J. Spaun
50%
Jordan Spieth
50%
Sam Stevens
50%
Sepp Straka
50%
Nick Taylor
50%
Sahith Theegala
50%
Justin Thomas
50%
Michael Thorbjornsen
50%
Gary Woodland
50%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
50%
Cameron Young
50%
Akshay Bhatia
50%
Brian Harman
50%
Russell Henley
50%
Ryo Hisatsune
50%
Nicolai Hojgaard
50%
Max Homa
50%
Viktor Hovland
50%
Michael Kim
50%
Si Woo Kim
50%
Tom Kim
50%
Kurt Kitayama
50%
Jake Knapp
50%
Jackson Koivun
50%
Min Woo Lee
50%
Jacob Bridgeman
50%
Sam Burns
50%
Patrick Cantlay
50%
Ricky Castillo
50%
Wyndham Clark
50%
Corey Conners
50%
Matt McCarty
50%
Rory McIlroy
50%
Maverick McNealy
50%
Keith Mitchell
50%
Collin Morikawa
50%
Alexander Noren
50%
JT Poston
50%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship is cancelled, postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship is cancelled, postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The deep field of top-70 FedEx Cup qualifiers at TPC Southwind keeps second-round leader probabilities tightly bunched ahead of the August 13 start. Strong recent form from players such as Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Justin Rose, and Ludvig Åberg, combined with the course’s emphasis on accuracy off the tee and solid ball-striking, creates numerous realistic paths to the 36-hole lead. Historical patterns at the Memphis venue show frequent mid-pack or lesser-known names atop the leaderboard after two rounds due to variable scoring conditions and the absence of cut pressure in the opening playoff event. With no confirmed injuries or withdrawals altering the roster and all contenders entering on comparable rest, trader consensus reflects broad parity rather than any single standout favorite.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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