The deep 96-player field at the 2026 National Bank Open, featuring 72 of the WTA's top 75 ranked players on hard courts, has produced tightly bunched implied probabilities across dozens of contenders. Recent draw release and confirmed withdrawals—including defending champion Victoria Mboko (left knee MCL) and Karolina Muchova—have opened paths without creating a dominant favorite, while top seeds Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina share quarters amid strong showings from Jessica Pegula, Coco Gauff, Iga Swiatek, and Mirra Andreeva. Mid-tier players such as Marta Kostyuk and Linda Noskova benefit from recent hard-court form and favorable early matchups, sustaining competitive balance that reflects the wisdom of crowds in a tournament where surface speed, rest, and bracket positioning can quickly shift outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMarta Kostyuk 51%
Sorana Cirstea 50%
Ekaterina Alexandrova 50%
Maja Chwalinska 50%
Marta Kostyuk
51%
Sorana Cirstea
50%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
50%
Maja Chwalinska
50%
Elise Mertens
50%
Marie Bouzkova
50%
Emma Navarro
50%
Anastasia Potapova
50%
Jelena Ostapenko
50%
Clara Tauson
50%
Anna Blinkova
50%
Cadence Brace
50%
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
50%
Tamara Korpatsch
50%
Amanda Anisimova
50%
Diana Shnaider
49%
Elena Rybakina
30%
Elina Svitolina
27%
Linda Noskova
26%
Jessica Pegula
26%
Coco Gauff
26%
Mirra Andreeva
26%
Iga Swiatek
26%
Naomi Osaka
26%
Belinda Bencic
26%
Iva Jovic
26%
Madison Keys
26%
Barbora Krejcikova
26%
Alexandra Eala
26%
Aryna Sabalenka
21%
Anna Kalinskaya
26%
Camila Osorio
1%
Alycia Parks
1%
Diane Parry
1%
Karolina Pliskova
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Kamilla Rakhimova
1%
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
1%
Antonia Ruzic
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Ann Li
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Donna Vekic
1%
Katerina Siniakova
1%
Bianca Andreescu
1%
Nikola Bartunkova
1%
Sara Bejlek
1%
Lois Boisson
1%
Anna Bondar
1%
Katie Boulter
1%
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
1%
Kayla Cross
1%
Kayla Day
1%
Magdalena Frech
1%
Talia Gibson
1%
Viktorija Golubic
1%
Leolia Jeanjean
1%
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
1%
Maya Joint
1%
Emerson Jones
1%
Anhelina Kalinina
1%
Daria Kasatkina
1%
McCartney Kessler
1%
Alina Korneeva
1%
Polina Kudermetova
1%
Magda Linette
1%
Eva Lys
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Rebecca Marino
1%
Caty McNally
1%
Oleksandra Oliynykova
1%
Katherine Sebov
1%
Solana Sierra
1%
Zeynep Sonmez
1%
Rebecca Sramkova
1%
Yuliia Starodubtseva
1%
Peyton Stearns
1%
Sloane Stephens
1%
Lanlana Tararudee
1%
Tereza Valentova
1%
Janice Tjen
-
Taylor Townsend
-
Moyuka Uchijima
-
Panna Udvardy
-
Xinyu Wang
-
Renata Zarazua
-
Shuai Zhang
-
Carol Zhao
-
Marta Kostyuk 51%
Sorana Cirstea 50%
Ekaterina Alexandrova 50%
Maja Chwalinska 50%
Marta Kostyuk
51%
Sorana Cirstea
50%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
50%
Maja Chwalinska
50%
Elise Mertens
50%
Marie Bouzkova
50%
Emma Navarro
50%
Anastasia Potapova
50%
Jelena Ostapenko
50%
Clara Tauson
50%
Anna Blinkova
50%
Cadence Brace
50%
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
50%
Tamara Korpatsch
50%
Amanda Anisimova
50%
Diana Shnaider
49%
Elena Rybakina
30%
Elina Svitolina
27%
Linda Noskova
26%
Jessica Pegula
26%
Coco Gauff
26%
Mirra Andreeva
26%
Iga Swiatek
26%
Naomi Osaka
26%
Belinda Bencic
26%
Iva Jovic
26%
Madison Keys
26%
Barbora Krejcikova
26%
Alexandra Eala
26%
Aryna Sabalenka
21%
Anna Kalinskaya
26%
Camila Osorio
1%
Alycia Parks
1%
Diane Parry
1%
Karolina Pliskova
1%
Yulia Putintseva
1%
Kamilla Rakhimova
1%
Elena-Gabriela Ruse
1%
Antonia Ruzic
1%
Liudmila Samsonova
1%
Ann Li
1%
Maria Sakkari
1%
Leylah Fernandez
1%
Donna Vekic
1%
Katerina Siniakova
1%
Bianca Andreescu
1%
Nikola Bartunkova
1%
Sara Bejlek
1%
Lois Boisson
1%
Anna Bondar
1%
Katie Boulter
1%
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
1%
Kayla Cross
1%
Kayla Day
1%
Magdalena Frech
1%
Talia Gibson
1%
Viktorija Golubic
1%
Leolia Jeanjean
1%
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
1%
Maya Joint
1%
Emerson Jones
1%
Anhelina Kalinina
1%
Daria Kasatkina
1%
McCartney Kessler
1%
Alina Korneeva
1%
Polina Kudermetova
1%
Magda Linette
1%
Eva Lys
1%
Tatjana Maria
1%
Rebecca Marino
1%
Caty McNally
1%
Oleksandra Oliynykova
1%
Katherine Sebov
1%
Solana Sierra
1%
Zeynep Sonmez
1%
Rebecca Sramkova
1%
Yuliia Starodubtseva
1%
Peyton Stearns
1%
Sloane Stephens
1%
Lanlana Tararudee
1%
Tereza Valentova
1%
Janice Tjen
-
Taylor Townsend
-
Moyuka Uchijima
-
Panna Udvardy
-
Xinyu Wang
-
Renata Zarazua
-
Shuai Zhang
-
Carol Zhao
-
If this tournament is postponed after August 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the WTA (wtatennis.com) or National Bank Open (nationalbankopen.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 10:54 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this tournament is postponed after August 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the WTA (wtatennis.com) or National Bank Open (nationalbankopen.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The deep 96-player field at the 2026 National Bank Open, featuring 72 of the WTA's top 75 ranked players on hard courts, has produced tightly bunched implied probabilities across dozens of contenders. Recent draw release and confirmed withdrawals—including defending champion Victoria Mboko (left knee MCL) and Karolina Muchova—have opened paths without creating a dominant favorite, while top seeds Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina share quarters amid strong showings from Jessica Pegula, Coco Gauff, Iga Swiatek, and Mirra Andreeva. Mid-tier players such as Marta Kostyuk and Linda Noskova benefit from recent hard-court form and favorable early matchups, sustaining competitive balance that reflects the wisdom of crowds in a tournament where surface speed, rest, and bracket positioning can quickly shift outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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