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Geopolitics·Ukraine

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

icon for Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
Geopolitics·Ukraine

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

$31,116 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$31,116 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Jared Kushner

Jared Kushner

$1,526 Vol.

86%

icon for Steve Witkoff

Steve Witkoff

$1,365 Vol.

80%

icon for Andy Burnham

Andy Burnham

$2,034 Vol.

76%

icon for Keith Kellogg

Keith Kellogg

$1,531 Vol.

69%

icon for Ursula von der Leyen

Ursula von der Leyen

$1,453 Vol.

68%

icon for Mark Rutte

Mark Rutte

$33 Vol.

67%

icon for Donald Tusk

Donald Tusk

$82 Vol.

66%

icon for Mark Carney

Mark Carney

$2,242 Vol.

66%

icon for Maia Sandu

Maia Sandu

$1,132 Vol.

57%

icon for António Costa

António Costa

$2,353 Vol.

54%

icon for Emmanuel Macron

Emmanuel Macron

$211 Vol.

47%

icon for Friedrich Merz

Friedrich Merz

$717 Vol.

55%

icon for António Guterres

António Guterres

$632 Vol.

16%

icon for JD Vance

JD Vance

$1,995 Vol.

8%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$13,812 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Diplomatic momentum around the Russia-Ukraine conflict continues to shape expectations for high-profile visits by December 31. The June 2026 G7 summit highlighted U.S. President Donald Trump’s engagement with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy on support and potential negotiations, while European leaders maintain regular Kyiv contact, as seen in the February 2026 trip by European Council President António Costa and Commission President Ursula von der Leyen. Congressional delegations, including U.S. Senators in June, underscore ongoing legislative interest. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether U.S. or other major-power visits will materialize amid shifting alliance priorities, peace-talk signals, and security constraints, with any breakthrough diplomatic announcement or scheduled summit serving as the primary near-term catalyst.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$31,116
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 6:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Diplomatic momentum around the Russia-Ukraine conflict continues to shape expectations for high-profile visits by December 31. The June 2026 G7 summit highlighted U.S. President Donald Trump’s engagement with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy on support and potential negotiations, while European leaders maintain regular Kyiv contact, as seen in the February 2026 trip by European Council President António Costa and Commission President Ursula von der Leyen. Congressional delegations, including U.S. Senators in June, underscore ongoing legislative interest. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether U.S. or other major-power visits will materialize amid shifting alliance priorities, peace-talk signals, and security constraints, with any breakthrough diplomatic announcement or scheduled summit serving as the primary near-term catalyst.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$31,116
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 6:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jared Kushner" at 86%, followed by "Steve Witkoff" at 80%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?" has generated $31.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?" is "Jared Kushner" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Steve Witkoff" at 80%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.