Alexander Volkanovski holds the UFC featherweight title after defending it via unanimous decision against Diego Lopes at UFC 325 in January 2026, tying José Aldo’s record for most successful defenses in the division. Traders assign him the leading 53% implied probability for year-end 2026 status due to his experience, recent form, and public preference for a late-2026 title defense against top contender Movsar Evloev. Evloev, ranked second at 36%, solidified his position with a majority-decision victory over Lerone Murphy in March 2026, extending his undefeated streak to 20-0 and earning immediate calls for the next shot. Lower-priced names such as Jean Silva and others trail significantly, reflecting limited near-term paths to the belt amid Volkanovski’s established reign and the division’s clear hierarchy.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAlexander Volkanovski 59%
Movsar Evloev 38%
Jean Silva 7.1%
Steve Garcia 2.9%
$297,683 Vol.
$297,683 Vol.
Alexander Volkanovski
53%
Movsar Evloev
38%
Jean Silva
7%
Steve Garcia
3%
Brian Ortega
1%
Arnold Allen
1%
Yair Rodriguez
1%
Lerone Murphy
1%
Youssef Zalal
1%
Aljamain Sterling
1%
Diego Lopes
<1%
Kevin Vallejos
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski 59%
Movsar Evloev 38%
Jean Silva 7.1%
Steve Garcia 2.9%
$297,683 Vol.
$297,683 Vol.
Alexander Volkanovski
53%
Movsar Evloev
38%
Jean Silva
7%
Steve Garcia
3%
Brian Ortega
1%
Arnold Allen
1%
Yair Rodriguez
1%
Lerone Murphy
1%
Youssef Zalal
1%
Aljamain Sterling
1%
Diego Lopes
<1%
Kevin Vallejos
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alexander Volkanovski holds the UFC featherweight title after defending it via unanimous decision against Diego Lopes at UFC 325 in January 2026, tying José Aldo’s record for most successful defenses in the division. Traders assign him the leading 53% implied probability for year-end 2026 status due to his experience, recent form, and public preference for a late-2026 title defense against top contender Movsar Evloev. Evloev, ranked second at 36%, solidified his position with a majority-decision victory over Lerone Murphy in March 2026, extending his undefeated streak to 20-0 and earning immediate calls for the next shot. Lower-priced names such as Jean Silva and others trail significantly, reflecting limited near-term paths to the belt amid Volkanovski’s established reign and the division’s clear hierarchy.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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