Skip to main content
icon for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?

icon for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?

Aug 31

Aug 31

Aug 31

Aug 31

Aug 31

Aug 31

700 - 800m 45%

600 - 700m 30%

800 - 900m 21%

900m+ 16%

Polymarket

$22,654 Vol.

700 - 800m 45%

600 - 700m 30%

800 - 900m 21%

900m+ 16%

Polymarket

$22,654 Vol.

<400m

$837 Vol.

1%

400 - 500m

$1,257 Vol.

1%

500 - 600m

$3,518 Vol.

2%

600 - 700m

$4,202 Vol.

30%

700 - 800m

$3,122 Vol.

38%

800 - 900m

$3,153 Vol.

20%

900m+

$6,766 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong pre-release tracking for the July 31 theatrical debut, with forecasts ranging from $180M–$250M domestic opening weekend, has fueled tight trader consensus across total gross bands by August 31. Multiple ranges from under $400M to $900M+ sit within 1% of each other because the film’s legs after its initial surge remain untested amid summer competition and variable audience retention for recent MCU entries. Historical Spider-Man performance, franchise brand strength, and early presale momentum support the even distribution, while the proximity to release leaves room for quick shifts once opening numbers and second-weekend holds clarify the trajectory.

This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$22,654
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong pre-release tracking for the July 31 theatrical debut, with forecasts ranging from $180M–$250M domestic opening weekend, has fueled tight trader consensus across total gross bands by August 31. Multiple ranges from under $400M to $900M+ sit within 1% of each other because the film’s legs after its initial surge remain untested amid summer competition and variable audience retention for recent MCU entries. Historical Spider-Man performance, franchise brand strength, and early presale momentum support the even distribution, while the proximity to release leaves room for quick shifts once opening numbers and second-weekend holds clarify the trajectory.

This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$22,654
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Related

icon for Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

99%
icon for Will Lonnie Lincoln die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?

Will Lonnie Lincoln die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?

38%
icon for Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

46%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

""Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "700 - 800m" at 38%, followed by "600 - 700m" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, ""Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?" has generated $22.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on ""Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for ""Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?" is "700 - 800m" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "600 - 700m" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for ""Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.