Rodrigo Paz took office in November 2025 after winning Bolivia’s first presidential runoff, ending two decades of Movement for Socialism (MAS) governance. Trader sentiment on an early exit has been shaped by sustained protests since May 2026 over inherited economic strains, fuel-subsidy reductions, shortages, and roadblocks that have produced deaths and clashes with security forces. Paz responded with salary cuts for officials, a cabinet reorganization, and legislation enabling military intervention in unrest, while facing poor results for his Patria alliance in April 2026 regional elections. Ongoing demonstrations linked to former president Evo Morales, combined with international diplomatic engagement, remain the key near-term variables that could alter removal probabilities ahead of any resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$56,812 Vol.
July 31, 2026
<1%
$56,812 Vol.
July 31, 2026
<1%
An announcement of Rodrigo Paz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rodrigo Paz and the government of Bolivia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 26, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Rodrigo Paz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rodrigo Paz and the government of Bolivia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Rodrigo Paz took office in November 2025 after winning Bolivia’s first presidential runoff, ending two decades of Movement for Socialism (MAS) governance. Trader sentiment on an early exit has been shaped by sustained protests since May 2026 over inherited economic strains, fuel-subsidy reductions, shortages, and roadblocks that have produced deaths and clashes with security forces. Paz responded with salary cuts for officials, a cabinet reorganization, and legislation enabling military intervention in unrest, while facing poor results for his Patria alliance in April 2026 regional elections. Ongoing demonstrations linked to former president Evo Morales, combined with international diplomatic engagement, remain the key near-term variables that could alter removal probabilities ahead of any resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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