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Politics·Germany

Oldenburg Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Oldenburg Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Germany

Oldenburg Mayoral Election Winner

Jascha Rohr 49%

Ulf Prange 48%

Holger Martin Wilkens 3.8%

Heike Boldt 3.6%

Polymarket
NEW

Jascha Rohr 49%

Ulf Prange 48%

Holger Martin Wilkens 3.8%

Heike Boldt 3.6%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Jascha Rohr

Jascha Rohr

$88 Vol.

49%

icon for Ulf Prange

Ulf Prange

$110 Vol.

48%

icon for Holger Martin Wilkens

Holger Martin Wilkens

$86 Vol.

4%

icon for Heike Boldt

Heike Boldt

$86 Vol.

4%

icon for Sebastian Fröhlich

Sebastian Fröhlich

$86 Vol.

3%

icon for Ralf Butzin

Ralf Butzin

$86 Vol.

3%

icon for Yakup Castur

Yakup Castur

$86 Vol.

2%

icon for Michael Stille

Michael Stille

$109 Vol.

2%

icon for Byanca Küßner

Byanca Küßner

$86 Vol.

2%

The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.The crowded field of nine confirmed candidates for Oldenburg’s September 13, 2026 Oberbürgermeister election—following incumbent Jürgen Krogmann’s decision not to seek a third term—has produced closely matched trader prices, with no contender exceeding 43 percent. Cross-party support for independent Jascha Rohr from the Greens and CDU contrasts with SPD nominee Ulf Prange and other party-backed or independent entrants, fragmenting early support. The two-round system raises the likelihood of a September 27 runoff, while limited polling and recent nomination announcements keep probabilities diffuse. Further endorsements, candidate debates, or shifts in local voter coalitions could consolidate backing and widen gaps ahead of the vote.

The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volume
$823
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.The crowded field of nine confirmed candidates for Oldenburg’s September 13, 2026 Oberbürgermeister election—following incumbent Jürgen Krogmann’s decision not to seek a third term—has produced closely matched trader prices, with no contender exceeding 43 percent. Cross-party support for independent Jascha Rohr from the Greens and CDU contrasts with SPD nominee Ulf Prange and other party-backed or independent entrants, fragmenting early support. The two-round system raises the likelihood of a September 27 runoff, while limited polling and recent nomination announcements keep probabilities diffuse. Further endorsements, candidate debates, or shifts in local voter coalitions could consolidate backing and widen gaps ahead of the vote.

The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volume
$823
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Oldenburg Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jascha Rohr" at 49%, followed by "Ulf Prange" at 48%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Oldenburg Mayoral Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Oldenburg Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oldenburg Mayoral Election Winner" is "Jascha Rohr" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ulf Prange" at 48%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oldenburg Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.