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Sports·Soccer

Next Italian National Team Head Coach

icon for Next Italian National Team Head Coach
Sports·Soccer

Next Italian National Team Head Coach

Roberto Mancini 100.0%

Pep Guardiola <1%

Antonio Conte <1%

Thiago Motta <1%

Polymarket

$261,918 Vol.

Roberto Mancini 100.0%

Pep Guardiola <1%

Antonio Conte <1%

Thiago Motta <1%

Polymarket

$261,918 Vol.

Pep Guardiola

$24,281 Vol.

No

Roberto Mancini

$49,834 Vol.

Yes

Antonio Conte

$15,093 Vol.

No

Thiago Motta

$12,800 Vol.

No

Stefano Pioli

$10,294 Vol.

No

Fabio Cannavaro

$10,669 Vol.

No

Gianluigi Buffon

$9,635 Vol.

No

Sebastian Hoeness

$6,181 Vol.

No

Cesc Fabregas

$8,955 Vol.

No

Julian Nagelsmann

$6,263 Vol.

No

Andrea Pirlo

$92,843 Vol.

No

Francesco Totti

$5,633 Vol.

No

Raffaele Palladino

$9,436 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent head coach of Italy’s Men’s National Soccer Team. If no permanent head coach is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Italian Football Federation (Federazione Italiana Giuoco Calcio); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Italy's failure to qualify for the 2026 World Cup triggered the vacancy and intensified speculation around the next Azzurri coach. Roberto Mancini leads trader consensus at 57 percent as a free agent with prior success in the role, including the 2020 European Championship win, while names like Pep Guardiola, Antonio Conte, Thiago Motta, and others cluster near even money. This tight spread reflects uncertainty over the FIGC's timeline and preferences amid a broad pool of candidates. Recent reports of Mancini's availability after his Al-Sadd stint have lifted his position, but no appointment has been confirmed. An official offer, contract details, or public statements from the federation could quickly shift probabilities and create clearer separation among contenders.

This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent head coach of Italy’s Men’s National Soccer Team.

If no permanent head coach is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Italian Football Federation (Federazione Italiana Giuoco Calcio); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$261,918
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent head coach of Italy’s Men’s National Soccer Team. If no permanent head coach is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Italian Football Federation (Federazione Italiana Giuoco Calcio); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent head coach of Italy’s Men’s National Soccer Team. If no permanent head coach is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Italian Football Federation (Federazione Italiana Giuoco Calcio); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Italy's failure to qualify for the 2026 World Cup triggered the vacancy and intensified speculation around the next Azzurri coach. Roberto Mancini leads trader consensus at 57 percent as a free agent with prior success in the role, including the 2020 European Championship win, while names like Pep Guardiola, Antonio Conte, Thiago Motta, and others cluster near even money. This tight spread reflects uncertainty over the FIGC's timeline and preferences amid a broad pool of candidates. Recent reports of Mancini's availability after his Al-Sadd stint have lifted his position, but no appointment has been confirmed. An official offer, contract details, or public statements from the federation could quickly shift probabilities and create clearer separation among contenders.

This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent head coach of Italy’s Men’s National Soccer Team.

If no permanent head coach is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Italian Football Federation (Federazione Italiana Giuoco Calcio); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$261,918
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent head coach of Italy’s Men’s National Soccer Team. If no permanent head coach is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Italian Football Federation (Federazione Italiana Giuoco Calcio); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Italian National Team Head Coach" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Roberto Mancini" at 100%, followed by "Pep Guardiola" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Italian National Team Head Coach" has generated $261.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Italian National Team Head Coach," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Italian National Team Head Coach" is "Roberto Mancini" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Pep Guardiola" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Italian National Team Head Coach" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.