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NBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team

icon for NBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team

NBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team

Cleveland Cavaliers 98.2%

Boston Celtics 2.1%

Utah Jazz 1.8%

Orlando Magic 1.6%

Polymarket

$1,283,139 Vol.

Cleveland Cavaliers 98.2%

Boston Celtics 2.1%

Utah Jazz 1.8%

Orlando Magic 1.6%

Polymarket

$1,283,139 Vol.

Cleveland Cavaliers

$7,737 Vol.

98%

Boston Celtics

$1,036 Vol.

2%

Utah Jazz

$912 Vol.

2%

Orlando Magic

$958 Vol.

2%

Houston Rockets

$1,211 Vol.

1%

Washington Wizards

$912 Vol.

1%

Chicago Bulls

$900 Vol.

1%

Memphis Grizzlies

$370,581 Vol.

1%

Atlanta Hawks

$849,585 Vol.

<1%

Portland Trail Blazers

$873 Vol.

<1%

Oklahoma City Thunder

$975 Vol.

<1%

Miami Heat

$1,232 Vol.

<1%

Detroit Pistons

$961 Vol.

<1%

Toronto Raptors

$972 Vol.

<1%

Charlotte Hornets

$900 Vol.

<1%

Dallas Mavericks

$836 Vol.

<1%

Milwaukee Bucks

$916 Vol.

<1%

Denver Nuggets

$841 Vol.

<1%

Minnesota Timberwolves

$908 Vol.

<1%

Golden State Warriors

$1,183 Vol.

<1%

New York Knicks

$811 Vol.

<1%

Brooklyn Nets

$556 Vol.

<1%

Sacramento Kings

$1,087 Vol.

<1%

Indiana Pacers

$693 Vol.

<1%

Philadelphia 76ers

$712 Vol.

<1%

LA Clippers

$672 Vol.

<1%

Phoenix Suns

$31,792 Vol.

<1%

San Antonio Spurs

$1,219 Vol.

<1%

Los Angeles Lakers

$608 Vol.

<1%

New Orleans Pelicans

$564 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next team James Harden officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.James Harden’s 2026 free-agency market remains tightly bunched across dozens of listed destinations because the veteran guard holds a player option with the Cleveland Cavaliers that most analysts expect him to decline in favor of a restructured two-year deal. Cleveland’s core of Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen showed strong chemistry once Harden arrived via midseason trade, reaching the Eastern Conference Finals, yet salary-cap constraints tied to Mitchell’s looming extension create room for other suitors to present competitive offers. At age 37, Harden’s preference for a contending roster, minutes restriction and short-term security keeps multiple Eastern and Western Conference teams in play, while the absence of confirmed interest from any single destination beyond Cleveland sustains the even distribution reflected in current trader consensus.

This market will resolve to the next team James Harden officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".

If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Volume
$1,283,139
End Date
Oct 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 22, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to the next team James Harden officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the next team James Harden officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.James Harden’s 2026 free-agency market remains tightly bunched across dozens of listed destinations because the veteran guard holds a player option with the Cleveland Cavaliers that most analysts expect him to decline in favor of a restructured two-year deal. Cleveland’s core of Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen showed strong chemistry once Harden arrived via midseason trade, reaching the Eastern Conference Finals, yet salary-cap constraints tied to Mitchell’s looming extension create room for other suitors to present competitive offers. At age 37, Harden’s preference for a contending roster, minutes restriction and short-term security keeps multiple Eastern and Western Conference teams in play, while the absence of confirmed interest from any single destination beyond Cleveland sustains the even distribution reflected in current trader consensus.

This market will resolve to the next team James Harden officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".

If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Volume
$1,283,139
End Date
Oct 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 22, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to the next team James Harden officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cleveland Cavaliers" at 98%, followed by "Boston Celtics" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team" is "Cleveland Cavaliers" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Boston Celtics" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.