Several MLB clubs enter early July 2026 with nearly identical overall ABS challenge success rates clustered between 50% and 55%, reflecting the tight distribution of the current market. Success hinges on the combined accuracy of batters, pitchers, and especially catchers when initiating the limited challenges each game, with teams retaining the right to challenge only after successful overturns. Recent data show modest edges for clubs whose catchers post higher overturn percentages on defensive calls, while offensive challenges have hovered closer to 48% league-wide. Small sample sizes through the first half of the schedule, varying usage rates, and day-to-day adjustments in challenge strategy continue to compress differences among contenders, leaving the leaderboard fluid heading into the summer months.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCincinnati Reds 41.7%
Detroit Tigers 29.8%
Cleveland Guardians 26.6%
Houston Astros 18%
$1,280,855 Vol.
$1,280,855 Vol.
Cincinnati Reds
42%
Detroit Tigers
30%
Cleveland Guardians
27%
Houston Astros
18%
Los Angeles Dodgers
17%
Arizona Diamondbacks
15%
Seattle Mariners
9%
Atlanta Braves
4%
Los Angeles Angels
3%
Tampa Bay Rays
3%
Kansas City Royals
3%
Minnesota Twins
2%
Boston Red Sox
2%
Philadelphia Phillies
2%
New York Yankees
2%
Colorado Rockies
2%
Chicago Cubs
1%
St. Louis Cardinals
1%
San Diego Padres
1%
San Francisco Giants
1%
New York Mets
<1%
Texas Rangers
<1%
Chicago White Sox
19%
Milwaukee Brewers
25%
Baltimore Orioles
18%
Miami Marlins
28%
Toronto Blue Jays
26%
Athletics
27%
Pittsburgh Pirates
-
Washington Nationals
28%
Cincinnati Reds 41.7%
Detroit Tigers 29.8%
Cleveland Guardians 26.6%
Houston Astros 18%
$1,280,855 Vol.
$1,280,855 Vol.
Cincinnati Reds
42%
Detroit Tigers
30%
Cleveland Guardians
27%
Houston Astros
18%
Los Angeles Dodgers
17%
Arizona Diamondbacks
15%
Seattle Mariners
9%
Atlanta Braves
4%
Los Angeles Angels
3%
Tampa Bay Rays
3%
Kansas City Royals
3%
Minnesota Twins
2%
Boston Red Sox
2%
Philadelphia Phillies
2%
New York Yankees
2%
Colorado Rockies
2%
Chicago Cubs
1%
St. Louis Cardinals
1%
San Diego Padres
1%
San Francisco Giants
1%
New York Mets
<1%
Texas Rangers
<1%
Chicago White Sox
19%
Milwaukee Brewers
25%
Baltimore Orioles
18%
Miami Marlins
28%
Toronto Blue Jays
26%
Athletics
27%
Pittsburgh Pirates
-
Washington Nationals
28%
If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 2, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/absResolver
0x69c47De9D...If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/absResolver
0x69c47De9D...Several MLB clubs enter early July 2026 with nearly identical overall ABS challenge success rates clustered between 50% and 55%, reflecting the tight distribution of the current market. Success hinges on the combined accuracy of batters, pitchers, and especially catchers when initiating the limited challenges each game, with teams retaining the right to challenge only after successful overturns. Recent data show modest edges for clubs whose catchers post higher overturn percentages on defensive calls, while offensive challenges have hovered closer to 48% league-wide. Small sample sizes through the first half of the schedule, varying usage rates, and day-to-day adjustments in challenge strategy continue to compress differences among contenders, leaving the leaderboard fluid heading into the summer months.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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