Jacob Misiorowski's league-leading 1.34 ERA, 131 strikeouts in 87 innings, and 0.74 WHIP for the Brewers have driven his 53.9% implied probability, capped by a recent 15-strikeout complete-game shutout that extended his dominance in the NL Cy Young race. Cristopher Sanchez sits second at 28.5% on the strength of his 1.82 ERA and consistent innings for the Phillies, though a rough outing in the recent series loss to Milwaukee narrowed his gap. Shohei Ohtani, Paul Skenes, and Yoshinobu Yamamoto trail with strong but less dominant lines, as the market reflects Misiorowski's edge in strikeout rate and run prevention amid a competitive field where half-season form heavily influences voter consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJacob Misiorowski 72.8%
Cristopher Sanchez 10.4%
Chris Sale 5.0%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 4.0%
$1,062,670 Vol.
$1,062,670 Vol.
Nov 12, 2026
Jacob Misiorowski
73%
Cristopher Sanchez
10%
Chris Sale
5%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
4%
Zack Wheeler
3%
Shohei Ohtani
2%
Paul Skenes
1%
Brandon Woodruff
<1%
Freddy Peralta
<1%
Nolan McLean
<1%
Eury Perez
<1%
Hunter Greene
<1%
Blake Snell
<1%
Logan Webb
<1%
Spencer Strider
<1%
Spencer Schwellenbach
<1%
Jesus Luzardo
<1%
Tyler Glasnow
<1%
Michael King
<1%
Nick Pivetta
<1%
Nick Lodolo
<1%
Mitch Keller
<1%
Mason Miller
<1%
Jacob Misiorowski 72.8%
Cristopher Sanchez 10.4%
Chris Sale 5.0%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 4.0%
$1,062,670 Vol.
$1,062,670 Vol.
Nov 12, 2026
Jacob Misiorowski
$14,651 Vol.
73%
Cristopher Sanchez
$49,858 Vol.
10%
Chris Sale
$8,976 Vol.
5%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
$11,850 Vol.
4%
Zack Wheeler
$7,392 Vol.
3%
Shohei Ohtani
$21,746 Vol.
2%
Paul Skenes
$30,523 Vol.
1%
Brandon Woodruff
$107,614 Vol.
<1%
Freddy Peralta
$112,283 Vol.
<1%
Nolan McLean
$585,538 Vol.
<1%
Eury Perez
$94,826 Vol.
<1%
Hunter Greene
$1,202 Vol.
<1%
Blake Snell
$1,147 Vol.
<1%
Logan Webb
$1,124 Vol.
<1%
Spencer Strider
$751 Vol.
<1%
Spencer Schwellenbach
$619 Vol.
<1%
Jesus Luzardo
$2,473 Vol.
<1%
Tyler Glasnow
$1,906 Vol.
<1%
Michael King
$2,070 Vol.
<1%
Nick Pivetta
$1,322 Vol.
<1%
Nick Lodolo
$799 Vol.
<1%
Mitch Keller
$658 Vol.
<1%
Mason Miller
$3,340 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jacob Misiorowski's league-leading 1.34 ERA, 131 strikeouts in 87 innings, and 0.74 WHIP for the Brewers have driven his 53.9% implied probability, capped by a recent 15-strikeout complete-game shutout that extended his dominance in the NL Cy Young race. Cristopher Sanchez sits second at 28.5% on the strength of his 1.82 ERA and consistent innings for the Phillies, though a rough outing in the recent series loss to Milwaukee narrowed his gap. Shohei Ohtani, Paul Skenes, and Yoshinobu Yamamoto trail with strong but less dominant lines, as the market reflects Misiorowski's edge in strikeout rate and run prevention amid a competitive field where half-season form heavily influences voter consensus.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 18, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Volume
$1,062,670End Date
Nov 12, 2026Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jacob Misiorowski's league-leading 1.34 ERA, 131 strikeouts in 87 innings, and 0.74 WHIP for the Brewers have driven his 53.9% implied probability, capped by a recent 15-strikeout complete-game shutout that extended his dominance in the NL Cy Young race. Cristopher Sanchez sits second at 28.5% on the strength of his 1.82 ERA and consistent innings for the Phillies, though a rough outing in the recent series loss to Milwaukee narrowed his gap. Shohei Ohtani, Paul Skenes, and Yoshinobu Yamamoto trail with strong but less dominant lines, as the market reflects Misiorowski's edge in strikeout rate and run prevention amid a competitive field where half-season form heavily influences voter consensus.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,062,670End Date
Nov 12, 2026Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jacob Misiorowski's league-leading 1.34 ERA, 131 strikeouts in 87 innings, and 0.74 WHIP for the Brewers have driven his 53.9% implied probability, capped by a recent 15-strikeout complete-game shutout that extended his dominance in the NL Cy Young race. Cristopher Sanchez sits second at 28.5% on the strength of his 1.82 ERA and consistent innings for the Phillies, though a rough outing in the recent series loss to Milwaukee narrowed his gap. Shohei Ohtani, Paul Skenes, and Yoshinobu Yamamoto trail with strong but less dominant lines, as the market reflects Misiorowski's edge in strikeout rate and run prevention amid a competitive field where half-season form heavily influences voter consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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