The Esports World Cup 2026 CS2 main event opened August 12 in Paris with 32 teams split into four double-elimination GSL groups. The top four squads from each eight-team group advance to the August 18–22 single-elimination playoffs. The just-completed Last Chance Qualifier finalized the final four entrants, while direct invites went to organizations such as Team Vitality, Natus Vincere, MOUZ, Team Spirit, and Falcons via VRS and regional paths. Current group-stage opening matches and bracket positioning immediately shape implied probabilities, with recent roster stability, map-pool familiarity, and head-to-head records serving as the main variables traders weigh for each team’s path to the top four.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$21,584 Vol.

Team Spirit
73%

MOUZ
78%

GamerLegion
72%

BIG
66%

paiN Gaming
62%

3DMAX
57%

G2 Esports
54%

9z Globant
54%

B8
52%

Astralis
50%

The MongolZ
49%

TYLOO
49%

Luminosity
27%

NIP.eStar
14%

M80
19%

Wildcard
9%

Lynn Vision Gaming
50%

FURIA
46%

Legacy
51%

Team Vitality
64%

Team Falcons
50%

Natus Vincere
65%

Aurora Gaming
51%

FUT Esports
53%

BB Team
52%

magic
50%

FaZe Clan
55%

MIBR.LOS
48%

PVISION
48%

100 Thieves
51%

K27 Esports
51%

JiJieHao
66%
$21,584 Vol.

Team Spirit
73%

MOUZ
78%

GamerLegion
72%

BIG
66%

paiN Gaming
62%

3DMAX
57%

G2 Esports
54%

9z Globant
54%

B8
52%

Astralis
50%

The MongolZ
49%

TYLOO
49%

Luminosity
27%

NIP.eStar
14%

M80
19%

Wildcard
9%

Lynn Vision Gaming
50%

FURIA
46%

Legacy
51%

Team Vitality
64%

Team Falcons
50%

Natus Vincere
65%

Aurora Gaming
51%

FUT Esports
53%

BB Team
52%

magic
50%

FaZe Clan
55%

MIBR.LOS
48%

PVISION
48%

100 Thieves
51%

K27 Esports
51%

JiJieHao
66%
A team is considered to have made the playoffs upon officially appearing in the playoff bracket as published by the tournament organizer. Advancement by walkover, forfeit, or opponent withdrawal counts the same as advancement by match result.
If the tournament format is changed such that the size or structure of the playoff bracket differs from the currently announced format, this market will resolve according to the official playoff bracket as published by the tournament organizer.
If this tournament is postponed after August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the playoff field has not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Esports World Cup; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A team is considered to have made the playoffs upon officially appearing in the playoff bracket as published by the tournament organizer. Advancement by walkover, forfeit, or opponent withdrawal counts the same as advancement by match result.
If the tournament format is changed such that the size or structure of the playoff bracket differs from the currently announced format, this market will resolve according to the official playoff bracket as published by the tournament organizer.
If this tournament is postponed after August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the playoff field has not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Esports World Cup; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Esports World Cup 2026 CS2 main event opened August 12 in Paris with 32 teams split into four double-elimination GSL groups. The top four squads from each eight-team group advance to the August 18–22 single-elimination playoffs. The just-completed Last Chance Qualifier finalized the final four entrants, while direct invites went to organizations such as Team Vitality, Natus Vincere, MOUZ, Team Spirit, and Falcons via VRS and regional paths. Current group-stage opening matches and bracket positioning immediately shape implied probabilities, with recent roster stability, map-pool familiarity, and head-to-head records serving as the main variables traders weigh for each team’s path to the top four.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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