The Esports World Cup 2026 Counter-Strike 2 main event, scheduled for August 12–23 in Paris with a $2 million prize pool and 32-team field, features a double-elimination group stage where the top four from each of four groups advance to single-elimination playoffs. Most invitations were secured through Valve Regional Standings and prior regional qualifiers, leaving limited spots for the recent Last Chance Qualifier completed August 7–9. Recent LCQ results, including strong showings from teams like 100 Thieves and K27 in the bracket, have clarified the final roster and shifted implied probabilities for remaining borderline squads. Roster stability, recent map pool form on LAN, and head-to-head history against top seeds such as Vitality, Spirit, and NAVI will heavily influence group outcomes, while any last-minute travel or preparation issues could alter advancement chances in the tightly contested middle tier of the field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Team Falcons
94%

Team Spirit
91%

MOUZ
90%

FURIA
88%

Team Vitality
85%

Natus Vincere
83%

G2 Esports
74%

9z Globant
70%

Aurora Gaming
69%

BB Team
59%

FaZe Clan
77%

Legacy
55%

PVISION
55%

The MongolZ
54%

Astralis
51%

FUT Esports
39%

B8
37%

BIG
37%

paiN Gaming
37%

M80
36%

TYLOO
36%

magic
32%

Luminosity
32%

3DMAX
26%

100 Thieves
26%

MIBR.LOS
25%

GamerLegion
24%

Lynn Vision Gaming
24%

Wildcard
24%

NIP.eStar
23%

JiJieHao
19%

K27 Esports
16%
$5,121 Vol.

Team Falcons
94%

Team Spirit
91%

MOUZ
90%

FURIA
88%

Team Vitality
85%

Natus Vincere
83%

G2 Esports
74%

9z Globant
70%

Aurora Gaming
69%

BB Team
59%

FaZe Clan
77%

Legacy
55%

PVISION
55%

The MongolZ
54%

Astralis
51%

FUT Esports
39%

B8
37%

BIG
37%

paiN Gaming
37%

M80
36%

TYLOO
36%

magic
32%

Luminosity
32%

3DMAX
26%

100 Thieves
26%

MIBR.LOS
25%

GamerLegion
24%

Lynn Vision Gaming
24%

Wildcard
24%

NIP.eStar
23%

JiJieHao
19%

K27 Esports
16%
A team is considered to have made the playoffs upon officially appearing in the playoff bracket as published by the tournament organizer. Advancement by walkover, forfeit, or opponent withdrawal counts the same as advancement by match result.
If the tournament format is changed such that the size or structure of the playoff bracket differs from the currently announced format, this market will resolve according to the official playoff bracket as published by the tournament organizer.
If this tournament is postponed after August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the playoff field has not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Esports World Cup; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A team is considered to have made the playoffs upon officially appearing in the playoff bracket as published by the tournament organizer. Advancement by walkover, forfeit, or opponent withdrawal counts the same as advancement by match result.
If the tournament format is changed such that the size or structure of the playoff bracket differs from the currently announced format, this market will resolve according to the official playoff bracket as published by the tournament organizer.
If this tournament is postponed after August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the playoff field has not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, the Esports World Cup; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Esports World Cup 2026 Counter-Strike 2 main event, scheduled for August 12–23 in Paris with a $2 million prize pool and 32-team field, features a double-elimination group stage where the top four from each of four groups advance to single-elimination playoffs. Most invitations were secured through Valve Regional Standings and prior regional qualifiers, leaving limited spots for the recent Last Chance Qualifier completed August 7–9. Recent LCQ results, including strong showings from teams like 100 Thieves and K27 in the bracket, have clarified the final roster and shifted implied probabilities for remaining borderline squads. Roster stability, recent map pool form on LAN, and head-to-head history against top seeds such as Vitality, Spirit, and NAVI will heavily influence group outcomes, while any last-minute travel or preparation issues could alter advancement chances in the tightly contested middle tier of the field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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