Skip to main content
icon for Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?
Politics·Netherlands

Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?

icon for Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?
Politics·Netherlands

Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?

9% chance
Polymarket

$15,329 Vol.

9% chance
Polymarket

$15,329 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**The current 89% trader consensus against dissolution of the Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer) in 2026 reflects the recent completion of an electoral cycle and the absence of immediate triggers for another snap election.** Following the collapse of the Schoof cabinet in June 2025 over asylum and immigration disputes that prompted PVV withdrawal from the coalition, King Willem-Alexander dissolved parliament and scheduled early elections for October 29, 2025. A new minority government led by D66’s Rob Jetten was subsequently formed and sworn in on February 23, 2026, after coalition negotiations. As of mid-June 2026, this cabinet continues without reported major internal fractures, no-confidence motions, or policy crises sufficient to force resignation or dissolution under Article 64 of the Dutch Constitution. The four-year term from the 2025 vote points to regular elections in 2029–2030, and traders appear to price in limited near-term risk of premature dissolution absent fresh political breakdowns.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$15,329
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 27, 2026, 7:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**The current 89% trader consensus against dissolution of the Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer) in 2026 reflects the recent completion of an electoral cycle and the absence of immediate triggers for another snap election.** Following the collapse of the Schoof cabinet in June 2025 over asylum and immigration disputes that prompted PVV withdrawal from the coalition, King Willem-Alexander dissolved parliament and scheduled early elections for October 29, 2025. A new minority government led by D66’s Rob Jetten was subsequently formed and sworn in on February 23, 2026, after coalition negotiations. As of mid-June 2026, this cabinet continues without reported major internal fractures, no-confidence motions, or policy crises sufficient to force resignation or dissolution under Article 64 of the Dutch Constitution. The four-year term from the 2025 vote points to regular elections in 2029–2030, and traders appear to price in limited near-term risk of premature dissolution absent fresh political breakdowns.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$15,329
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 27, 2026, 7:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Related

icon for Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?

Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?

10%
icon for Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?

Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?

18%
icon for Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

7%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 9% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 9¢, the market collectively assigns a 9% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?" has generated $15.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?" is 9% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 9% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.