Recent Bank of Korea communications and revised forecasts under new Governor Shin Hyun-song are driving trader sentiment for the August 27 decision, with the policy rate currently at 2.50% after eight straight holds. The May 2026 meeting raised the 2026 inflation projection to 2.7% and GDP growth to 2.6%, citing oil-price effects, stronger semiconductor exports, and geopolitical risks, while signaling a potential shift from easing toward tighter policy. This has produced closely matched implied probabilities—No Change at 53.5% versus a 25 basis point cut at 45.5%—as markets weigh resilient growth and inflation data against currency weakness and housing stability concerns. Upcoming releases on consumer prices and exports, plus any further central bank guidance, could shift the balance among hold, cut, or modest hike outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBank of Korea decision in August?
Bank of Korea decision in August?
No Change 75%
25 bps hike 26%
25 bps cut 1.3%
50+ bps hike <1%
$12,012 Vol.
$12,012 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
50+ bps cut
<1%
25 bps cut
1%
No Change
75%
25 bps hike
26%
50+ bps hike
1%
No Change 75%
25 bps hike 26%
25 bps cut 1.3%
50+ bps hike <1%
$12,012 Vol.
$12,012 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
50+ bps cut
$1,789 Vol.
<1%
25 bps cut
$659 Vol.
1%
No Change
$6,104 Vol.
75%
25 bps hike
$2,758 Vol.
26%
50+ bps hike
$702 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.Recent Bank of Korea communications and revised forecasts under new Governor Shin Hyun-song are driving trader sentiment for the August 27 decision, with the policy rate currently at 2.50% after eight straight holds. The May 2026 meeting raised the 2026 inflation projection to 2.7% and GDP growth to 2.6%, citing oil-price effects, stronger semiconductor exports, and geopolitical risks, while signaling a potential shift from easing toward tighter policy. This has produced closely matched implied probabilities—No Change at 53.5% versus a 25 basis point cut at 45.5%—as markets weigh resilient growth and inflation data against currency weakness and housing stability concerns. Upcoming releases on consumer prices and exports, plus any further central bank guidance, could shift the balance among hold, cut, or modest hike outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Market Opened: May 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ET
Volume
$12,012End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
May 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.Recent Bank of Korea communications and revised forecasts under new Governor Shin Hyun-song are driving trader sentiment for the August 27 decision, with the policy rate currently at 2.50% after eight straight holds. The May 2026 meeting raised the 2026 inflation projection to 2.7% and GDP growth to 2.6%, citing oil-price effects, stronger semiconductor exports, and geopolitical risks, while signaling a potential shift from easing toward tighter policy. This has produced closely matched implied probabilities—No Change at 53.5% versus a 25 basis point cut at 45.5%—as markets weigh resilient growth and inflation data against currency weakness and housing stability concerns. Upcoming releases on consumer prices and exports, plus any further central bank guidance, could shift the balance among hold, cut, or modest hike outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 27, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Volume
$12,012End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
May 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Bank of Korea communications and revised forecasts under new Governor Shin Hyun-song are driving trader sentiment for the August 27 decision, with the policy rate currently at 2.50% after eight straight holds. The May 2026 meeting raised the 2026 inflation projection to 2.7% and GDP growth to 2.6%, citing oil-price effects, stronger semiconductor exports, and geopolitical risks, while signaling a potential shift from easing toward tighter policy. This has produced closely matched implied probabilities—No Change at 53.5% versus a 25 basis point cut at 45.5%—as markets weigh resilient growth and inflation data against currency weakness and housing stability concerns. Upcoming releases on consumer prices and exports, plus any further central bank guidance, could shift the balance among hold, cut, or modest hike outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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