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icon for Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
Geopolitics·Iran

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

icon for Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
Geopolitics·Iran

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

$60,054 Vol.

Jul 31, 2026
Polymarket

$60,054 Vol.

Polymarket

July 31

$34,598 Vol.

<1%

September 30

$17,659 Vol.

9%

December 31

$7,797 Vol.

17%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Abbas Araghchi remains Iran’s foreign minister as of July 2026, having held the post since his August 2024 appointment under President Masoud Pezeshkian.** Reports from April 2026 indicated that Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sought his removal over allegations he coordinated nuclear talks directly with Revolutionary Guard commanders, bypassing elected officials. Araghchi has stayed active through June, issuing statements on U.S.-Iran ceasefire extensions, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and an MoU covering sanctions relief and nuclear negotiations. Mid-June hardline protests in cities including Mashhad called for his resignation, accusing him of excessive concessions. These events highlight ongoing tensions between reformist cabinet priorities and hardline security apparatus influence during post-conflict diplomacy, with no confirmed dismissal by early July.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$60,054
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Abbas Araghchi remains Iran’s foreign minister as of July 2026, having held the post since his August 2024 appointment under President Masoud Pezeshkian.** Reports from April 2026 indicated that Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sought his removal over allegations he coordinated nuclear talks directly with Revolutionary Guard commanders, bypassing elected officials. Araghchi has stayed active through June, issuing statements on U.S.-Iran ceasefire extensions, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and an MoU covering sanctions relief and nuclear negotiations. Mid-June hardline protests in cities including Mashhad called for his resignation, accusing him of excessive concessions. These events highlight ongoing tensions between reformist cabinet priorities and hardline security apparatus influence during post-conflict diplomacy, with no confirmed dismissal by early July.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$60,054
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 17%, followed by "September 30" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?" has generated $60.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?" is "December 31" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "September 30" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.