The 2027 NBA Draft Lottery first-pick market remains tightly contested because numerous franchises carry closely bunched implied probabilities between 36% and 50%, reflecting broad trader uncertainty over which teams will finish with the worst records in the 2026-27 season. Offseason roster turnover, young core development, and projected standings shifts across the Eastern and Western conferences keep multiple squads in play for the bottom of the standings, while stronger clubs such as the Bucks, Clippers, and Heat sit at single-digit odds consistent with expected competitive balance. This distribution captures the wisdom of crowds pricing in season-long variability rather than any single dominant candidate.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMiami Heat 93%
Washington Wizards 93%
Detroit Pistons 92%
Los Angeles Lakers 92%
NEW
NEW
May 18, 2027
Miami Heat
93%
Washington Wizards
93%
Detroit Pistons
92%
Los Angeles Lakers
92%
Minnesota Timberwolves
92%
New York Knicks
92%
Toronto Raptors
89%
Golden State Warriors
48%
Houston Rockets
48%
Indiana Pacers
48%
Milwaukee Bucks
48%
Denver Nuggets
48%
Oklahoma City Thunder
48%
Portland Trail Blazers
48%
San Antonio Spurs
48%
Atlanta Hawks
48%
New Orleans Pelicans
47%
Dallas Mavericks
47%
Sacramento Kings
46%
Los Angeles Clippers
46%
Memphis Grizzlies
46%
Utah Jazz
46%
Boston Celtics
46%
Chicago Bulls
46%
Charlotte Hornets
45%
Cleveland Cavaliers
45%
Brooklyn Nets
41%
Philadelphia 76ers
25%
Orlando Magic
25%
Phoenix Suns
25%
Miami Heat 93%
Washington Wizards 93%
Detroit Pistons 92%
Los Angeles Lakers 92%
NEW
NEW
May 18, 2027
Miami Heat
$0 Vol.
93%
Washington Wizards
$0 Vol.
93%
Detroit Pistons
$0 Vol.
92%
Los Angeles Lakers
$0 Vol.
92%
Minnesota Timberwolves
$0 Vol.
92%
New York Knicks
$0 Vol.
92%
Toronto Raptors
$0 Vol.
89%
Golden State Warriors
$0 Vol.
48%
Houston Rockets
$0 Vol.
48%
Indiana Pacers
$0 Vol.
48%
Milwaukee Bucks
$0 Vol.
48%
Denver Nuggets
$0 Vol.
48%
Oklahoma City Thunder
$0 Vol.
48%
Portland Trail Blazers
$0 Vol.
48%
San Antonio Spurs
$0 Vol.
48%
Atlanta Hawks
$0 Vol.
48%
New Orleans Pelicans
$0 Vol.
47%
Dallas Mavericks
$0 Vol.
47%
Sacramento Kings
$0 Vol.
46%
Los Angeles Clippers
$0 Vol.
46%
Memphis Grizzlies
$0 Vol.
46%
Utah Jazz
$0 Vol.
46%
Boston Celtics
$0 Vol.
46%
Chicago Bulls
$0 Vol.
46%
Charlotte Hornets
$0 Vol.
45%
Cleveland Cavaliers
$0 Vol.
45%
Brooklyn Nets
$0 Vol.
41%
Philadelphia 76ers
$0 Vol.
25%
Orlando Magic
$0 Vol.
25%
Phoenix Suns
$0 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery.
If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner.
If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.
If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 NBA Draft Lottery first-pick market remains tightly contested because numerous franchises carry closely bunched implied probabilities between 36% and 50%, reflecting broad trader uncertainty over which teams will finish with the worst records in the 2026-27 season. Offseason roster turnover, young core development, and projected standings shifts across the Eastern and Western conferences keep multiple squads in play for the bottom of the standings, while stronger clubs such as the Bucks, Clippers, and Heat sit at single-digit odds consistent with expected competitive balance. This distribution captures the wisdom of crowds pricing in season-long variability rather than any single dominant candidate.
This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery.
If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner.
If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.
If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner.
If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.
If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
May 18, 2027Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery.
If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner.
If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.
If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 NBA Draft Lottery first-pick market remains tightly contested because numerous franchises carry closely bunched implied probabilities between 36% and 50%, reflecting broad trader uncertainty over which teams will finish with the worst records in the 2026-27 season. Offseason roster turnover, young core development, and projected standings shifts across the Eastern and Western conferences keep multiple squads in play for the bottom of the standings, while stronger clubs such as the Bucks, Clippers, and Heat sit at single-digit odds consistent with expected competitive balance. This distribution captures the wisdom of crowds pricing in season-long variability rather than any single dominant candidate.
This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery.
If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner.
If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.
If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner.
If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.
If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
May 18, 2027Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2027 NBA Draft Lottery first-pick market remains tightly contested because numerous franchises carry closely bunched implied probabilities between 36% and 50%, reflecting broad trader uncertainty over which teams will finish with the worst records in the 2026-27 season. Offseason roster turnover, young core development, and projected standings shifts across the Eastern and Western conferences keep multiple squads in play for the bottom of the standings, while stronger clubs such as the Bucks, Clippers, and Heat sit at single-digit odds consistent with expected competitive balance. This distribution captures the wisdom of crowds pricing in season-long variability rather than any single dominant candidate.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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