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icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Elections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Elections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$254,240 Vol.

Apr 17, 2027
Polymarket

$254,240 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$8,381 Vol.

96%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$6,884 Vol.

91%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$22,067 Vol.

89%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$3,606 Vol.

85%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$12,675 Vol.

84%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$8,891 Vol.

74%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$4,762 Vol.

66%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$1,166 Vol.

63%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$7,351 Vol.

60%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$6,637 Vol.

62%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$8,362 Vol.

35%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$9,030 Vol.

35%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$9,302 Vol.

32%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$8,673 Vol.

32%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$5,746 Vol.

27%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$1,507 Vol.

27%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$8,356 Vol.

21%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$7,167 Vol.

15%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$6,019 Vol.

14%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$3,400 Vol.

10%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$10,597 Vol.

12%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$17,336 Vol.

12%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,153 Vol.

10%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$7,690 Vol.

9%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$3,305 Vol.

9%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$3,088 Vol.

8%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$5,739 Vol.

7%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$2,072 Vol.

7%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$1,804 Vol.

7%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$3,457 Vol.

6%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$2,604 Vol.

6%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$5,000 Vol.

6%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$1,596 Vol.

6%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$3,095 Vol.

5%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$3,097 Vol.

5%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$2,728 Vol.

5%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$985 Vol.

4%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$364 Vol.

4%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,577 Vol.

3%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$485 Vol.

3%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$20,009 Vol.

3%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$805 Vol.

3%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$1,875 Vol.

2%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$2,236 Vol.

2%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$593 Vol.

2%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$970 Vol.

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling at around 32-34 percent and is widely viewed as the frontrunner for his party's nomination, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his La France Insoumise candidacy in early May and appears likely to qualify.** Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also declared, splitting the center-right and Macronist vote, and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April. Marine Le Pen's July 7 appeal against her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban remains the key near-term catalyst that could determine whether Bardella or Le Pen represents the far right. A fragmented left, including an October primary, raises the bar for additional qualifiers, and traders weigh these developments against the need for 500 elected signatures and party consolidation ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$254,240
End Date
Apr 17, 2027
Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling at around 32-34 percent and is widely viewed as the frontrunner for his party's nomination, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his La France Insoumise candidacy in early May and appears likely to qualify.** Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also declared, splitting the center-right and Macronist vote, and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April. Marine Le Pen's July 7 appeal against her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban remains the key near-term catalyst that could determine whether Bardella or Le Pen represents the far right. A fragmented left, including an October primary, raises the bar for additional qualifiers, and traders weigh these developments against the need for 500 elected signatures and party consolidation ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$254,240
End Date
Apr 17, 2027
Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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icon for Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

31%
icon for Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 46+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" at 96%, followed by "Nathalie Arthaud" at 91%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" has generated $254.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?," browse the 46+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" is "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nathalie Arthaud" at 91%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.