Skip to main content
icon for 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

icon for 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Aryna Sabalenka 31%

Elena Rybakina 9.3%

Coco Gauff 8.5%

Iga Swiatek 9%

Polymarket

$6,209,367 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka 31%

Elena Rybakina 9.3%

Coco Gauff 8.5%

Iga Swiatek 9%

Polymarket

$6,209,367 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka

$41,488 Vol.

31%

Elena Rybakina

$88,618 Vol.

9%

Coco Gauff

$27,490 Vol.

9%

Iga Swiatek

$16,006 Vol.

9%

Mirra Andreeva

$38,262 Vol.

6%

Naomi Osaka

$25,740 Vol.

5%

Linda Noskova

$28,397 Vol.

4%

Jessica Pegula

$106,832 Vol.

4%

Amanda Anisimova

$65,875 Vol.

3%

Karolina Muchova

$39,968 Vol.

3%

Elina Svitolina

$19,981 Vol.

2%

Alexandra Eala

$268,708 Vol.

2%

Madison Keys

$27,935 Vol.

1%

Diana Shnaider

$44,728 Vol.

1%

Barbora Krejcikova

$546,269 Vol.

1%

Belinda Bencic

$58,673 Vol.

1%

Qinwen Zheng

$261,903 Vol.

1%

Elise Mertens

$41,576 Vol.

1%

Jasmine Paolini

$12,004 Vol.

1%

Emma Navarro

$25,932 Vol.

1%

Marie Bouzkova

$38,172 Vol.

1%

Tereza Valentova

$559,622 Vol.

1%

Paula Badosa

$19,700 Vol.

<1%

Jelena Ostapenko

$10,778 Vol.

<1%

Clara Tauson

$19,782 Vol.

<1%

Liudmila Samsonova

$31,354 Vol.

<1%

Anastasia Potapova

$442,177 Vol.

<1%

Donna Vekic

$131,538 Vol.

<1%

Emma Raducanu

$56,280 Vol.

<1%

Ashlyn Krueger

$37,787 Vol.

<1%

Dayana Yastremska

$15,815 Vol.

<1%

Ekaterina Alexandrova

$40,847 Vol.

<1%

Xiyu Wang

$1,028,515 Vol.

<1%

Beatriz Haddad Maia

$30,201 Vol.

<1%

Sofia Kenin

$190,943 Vol.

<1%

Maya Joint

$34,532 Vol.

<1%

Daria Kasatkina

$10,146 Vol.

<1%

Katie Boulter

$1,663,466 Vol.

<1%

Marketa Vondrousova

$42,495 Vol.

<1%

Victoria Mboko

$18,831 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka leads the 2026 Women’s US Open winner market on the back of a dominant hard-court season, including three titles and a 31-4 record that reflects superior baseline power and serve consistency on the surface. Recent results show her edging past early clay inconsistencies after a Roland Garros quarterfinal exit, while Iga Swiatek’s fourth-round loss there and title drought have tempered expectations despite her strong overall ranking. Elena Rybakina sits third after claiming the Australian Open title and posting steady results across surfaces, highlighting the depth among contenders. Coco Gauff, Mirra Andreeva, and Amanda Anisimova round out the next tier with varying hard-court experience and recent form, but the broad field underscores how injuries, draw positioning, and late-summer momentum can shift outcomes on the fast New York courts. Trader consensus captures this balance of proven hard-court track records against emerging volatility.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,209,367
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka leads the 2026 Women’s US Open winner market on the back of a dominant hard-court season, including three titles and a 31-4 record that reflects superior baseline power and serve consistency on the surface. Recent results show her edging past early clay inconsistencies after a Roland Garros quarterfinal exit, while Iga Swiatek’s fourth-round loss there and title drought have tempered expectations despite her strong overall ranking. Elena Rybakina sits third after claiming the Australian Open title and posting steady results across surfaces, highlighting the depth among contenders. Coco Gauff, Mirra Andreeva, and Amanda Anisimova round out the next tier with varying hard-court experience and recent form, but the broad field underscores how injuries, draw positioning, and late-summer momentum can shift outcomes on the fast New York courts. Trader consensus captures this balance of proven hard-court track records against emerging volatility.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,209,367
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?

53%
icon for Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?

Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?

80%
icon for Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?

Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?

66%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 40+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 31%, followed by "Elena Rybakina" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $6.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 40+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Elena Rybakina" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.